Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.7median
1560
Median 25.7Middle half 20.5 – 30.9
Install
Mississippi's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
21.1median
838
Median 21.1Middle half 14.5 – 28.3
How the odds have moved
Median: 24 on Oct 19, 21.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guest, 11+ pts | 89% | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.07 | 50.00 | |
| Guest, 14+ pts | 77% | 72¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 10.00 | |
| Guest, 17+ pts | 65% | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| Guest, 20+ pts | 54% | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 50.00 | |
| Guest, 23+ pts | 43% | 38¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 9.00 | |
| Guest, 26+ pts | 31% | 26¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 200 | |
| Guest, 29+ pts | 23% | 18¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| Guest, 32+ pts | 16% | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| Guest, 35+ pts | 7% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mississippi
Search ›- A Black Democrat has a chance to win in Mississippi’s Senate raceBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Scott Colom has a shot…
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President Trump to campaign for Sen. Hyde-Smith in MississippiPresident Donald Trump is heading to Mississippi for a rally soon. He'll campaign for United States Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith. The rally will be Oct. 26 ... President Trump to campaign for Sen. Hyde-Smith in Mississippi It looks like you're… -
Trump asked is he's 'worried' about Mississippi US Senate raceFox News Trump asked is he's 'worried' about Mississippi US Senate race President Donald Trump responds Thursday outside the White House when asked if he is concerned by the U.S. Senate race in Mississippi, where GOP incumbent Cindy… -
Republican group places seven-figure ad buy in MississippiThe top Senate Republican super PAC is spending more than $1 million in Mississippi’s Senate race to defend GOP Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith and stave off an upset bid from Democratic candidate Scott Colom, according to details shared with… -
Kamala Harris Stumps in Mississippi as GOP Moves to Protect Senate SeatOct 22, 2026 at 04:15 PM EDT Former Vice President Kamala Harris is campaigning in Mississippi on Thursday for Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Scott Colom, as Republicans face an unexpectedly competitive contest in a state President… -
Video shows moments before fatal police shooting of 1-year-old in MississippiNewly released bodycam video shows the moments before a Mississippi police officer fired his gun into a car in June, killing a 1-year-old boy sitting on his mother's lap. This week the state's attorney general concluded the officer who… -
WATCH LIVE: Kamala Harris joins Dem Senate nominee Scott Colom at Mississippi rallyFormer Vice President Kamala Harris joins Democratic nominee Scott Colom at a rally in Columbus, Mississippi, to energize voters with 12 days until the midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Kamala Harris joins Dem Senate nominee Scott Colom at… -
Kamala Harris gets crickets from Mississippi rally crowd after butchering motivational quote: ‘Let me repeat that’Former Vice President Kamala Harris’ attempt to inspire voters at a Democratic rally in Mississippi fell flat Thursday after she was forced to repeat a confusing quote in a far-from-full high school gym. “You know, I mentor a lot of young… - Kamala Harris rallies for Mississippi Senate candidate as she elevates profileBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The former vice…
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Mississippi Senate race is drawing attention from high-profile DemocratsNPR Mississippi Senate race is drawing attention from high-profile Democrats From Gulf States Newsroom A U.S. Senate race in the Republican stronghold of Mississippi is getting rare attention from prominent Democrats. NPR does not offer or… -
The latest sign of Republican midterm problems: A top super PAC is buying ads in MississippiRepublicans working to keep the Senate are increasingly anxious about holding onto a seat in Mississippi — a GOP stronghold in the deep South — and are investing money in the final weeks to shore up incumbent Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith. Senate… -
Mississippi Officials Make 138 Polling Place ChangesJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192 “Local election officials in Mississippi have made changes to 138 polling places since the 2024 election, including moving the location for 112 precincts, closing 21 precincts and opening five new…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.4 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.7median
737
Median 23.7Middle half 18.6 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions