Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory
The odds
57.9median
4474
Median 57.9Middle half 53.9 – 61.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 56.5 on Oct 19, 57.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar, 47+ pts | 93% | ▲ 5 | 92¢ | 94¢ | $1.07 | 2.0K |
| Omar, 50+ pts | 91% | ▲ 12 | 88¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 395 |
| Omar, 53+ pts | 80% | ▲ 12 | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 417 |
| Omar, 56+ pts | 63% | ▲ 11 | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 258 |
| Omar, 59+ pts | 42% | ▲ 9 | 38¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 1.5K |
| Omar, 62+ pts | 22% | ▲ 6 | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 918 |
| Omar, 65+ pts | 8% | ▲ 2 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 742 |
| Omar, 68+ pts | 4% | 7¢ | $14.08 | 61.00 | ||
| Omar, 71+ pts | 3% | 5¢ | $18.87 | 258 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Minnesota
Search ›-
Minnesota House of Representatives - 2026 Election GuideCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. October 26, 2026… - Minnesota Senate - 2026 Election GuideCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. October 26, 2026…
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Minnesota Senate Race Shaken by ICE, Fraud and Ilhan Omar ProbeOct 26, 2026 at 03:13 PM EDT Republicans view the Minnesota Senate race as a potential pickup opportunity in the 2026 midterm elections, even as they face an increasingly difficult national environment in the final stretch of the campaign… -
Minnesota Democrats divided over Hasan Piker’s Minneapolis event with Ilhan Omar and Omar FatehPiker, a left-wing streamer with millions of followers, appears Monday evening at a sold-out event hosted by DFL state Sen. Omar Fateh. Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s campaign called a number of his statements “reckless and unacceptable.” Minnesota… -
Minnesota's unhoused got a chance to hit the pollsCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 Your Stories From Your Community Reporters CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Catholic Charities helps Minnesota's unhoused vote ahead of midtermsOctober 24, 2026 / 6:49 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota More than 400,000 Minnesotans have already voted in this midterm election, according to the Secretary of State's office, a big increase from 2022, when around 280,000 were reported during that… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in DuluthSen. Bernie Sanders joins Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Attorney General Keith Ellison at a Duluth, Minnesota, get-out-the-vote campaign rally. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in Duluth Sen. Bernie Sanders joins… -
Minnesota Woman speaks out after husband detained by ICE at immigration interviewCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota Woman… -
Minnesota candidate sounds alarm on gaps in state’s inspector general lawHeidi Heino, the Republican candidate for Minnesota’s 36th Senate District, spoke to Fox News Digital about her test of the state’s Office of the Inspector General law against past fraud schemes, including Feeding Our Future. Minnesota… -
Are Minnesota Democrats Turning on Ilhan Omar?This is one of those times that the Germans invented the world "schadenfreude" for. The embattled Minnesota Democrat Congresswoman Ilhan Omar (MN-05) is feeling the heat of an ongoing investigation into her immigration status, while other… -
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine; Tafoya makes strides in MinnesotaNew York progressive Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is campaigning for Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson. Meanwhile, the Senate race in typically blue Minnesota is tightening. CBS News' Taurean Small reports. AOC supports… -
Minnesota state auditor race: 4 questions, answeredWith concerns about fraud and fears of a budget deficit looming over Minnesota's elections, control of the state auditor's office could influence anti-fraud and budget efforts at the local level, no matter who sits in the governor's…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
23%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 33.3 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
57median
4272
Median 57Middle half 52.4 – 61.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions