Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Minnesota's 3rd District margin of victory
The odds
28.7median
1343
Median 28.7Middle half 21.4 – 35.9
How the odds have moved
Median: 28.6 on Oct 19, 28.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morrison, 16+ pts | 94% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 140 | |
| Morrison, 19+ pts | 84% | ▼ 1 | 79¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | |
| Morrison, 22+ pts | 73% | ▼ 1 | 69¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | |
| Morrison, 25+ pts | 63% | 58¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 140 | |
| Morrison, 28+ pts | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 25.00 | |
| Morrison, 31+ pts | 42% | 37¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | ||
| Morrison, 34+ pts | 32% | 27¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | ||
| Morrison, 37+ pts | 21% | 16¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | ||
| Morrison, 40+ pts | 10% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Minnesota
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Minnesota's unhoused got a chance to hit the pollsCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 Your Stories From Your Community Reporters CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Catholic Charities helps Minnesota's unhoused vote ahead of midtermsOctober 24, 2026 / 6:49 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota More than 400,000 Minnesotans have already voted in this midterm election, according to the Secretary of State's office, a big increase from 2022, when around 280,000 were reported during that… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in DuluthSen. Bernie Sanders joins Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Attorney General Keith Ellison at a Duluth, Minnesota, get-out-the-vote campaign rally. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in Duluth Sen. Bernie Sanders joins… -
Minnesota Woman speaks out after husband detained by ICE at immigration interviewCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota Woman… -
Minnesota candidate sounds alarm on gaps in state’s inspector general lawHeidi Heino, the Republican candidate for Minnesota’s 36th Senate District, spoke to Fox News Digital about her test of the state’s Office of the Inspector General law against past fraud schemes, including Feeding Our Future. Minnesota… -
AOC campaigns for Troy Jackson in Maine; Tafoya makes strides in MinnesotaNew York progressive Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is campaigning for Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson. Meanwhile, the Senate race in typically blue Minnesota is tightening. CBS News' Taurean Small reports. AOC supports… -
Minnesota counties deny request for DOJ election monitors inside polling locationsCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota… -
Minnesota candidate ‘stress tests’ state’s new fraud law — what she found raised major red flagsHeidi Heino, the Republican candidate for Minnesota’s 36th Senate District, spoke to Fox News Digital about her test of the state’s Office of the Inspector General law against past fraud schemes, including Feeding Our Future. A Minnesota… -
Minnesota Democrats divided over Hasan Piker visit a week before midtermsUpdated on: October 22, 2026 / 9:47 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota A controversial left-wing commentator's visit to Minnesota one week before the midterm elections is dividing Democrats, many of whom are distancing themselves from him. Hasan… -
Ilhan Omar is not the Minnesota congresswoman’s 'real name': sourcesYoo breaks down the legal questions surrounding the federal investigation into Omar and examines her first public comments since agents searched her Washington, D.C., home. Ilhan Omar is not the "real name" of the Minnesota congresswoman… -
Thief steals Vikings statue from Minnesota couple's tombstoneCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Thief steals… -
Minnesota on track to debut 400th solar-powered school this yearCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota on…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.7 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions