Michigan Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $5.4K today · $181K traded · $129K at stake · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

2.46median
017
Median 2.46

How the odds have moved

Median: 2.29 on Oct 20, 2.46 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
El-Sayed, 1+ pts 70% ▲ 5 69¢ 71¢ $1.41 35.2K
El-Sayed, 2+ pts 56% 55¢ 56¢ $1.79 1.1K
El-Sayed, 3+ pts 44% ▲ 1 43¢ 44¢ $2.27 182.0K
El-Sayed, 4+ pts 42% ▲ 1 41¢ 42¢ $2.38 2.1K
El-Sayed, 5+ pts 33% ▲ 3 32¢ 33¢ $3.03 167.1K
El-Sayed, 6+ pts 23% ▼ 1 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 4.5K
El-Sayed, 7+ pts 18% ▼ 2 17¢ 18¢ $5.56 87.8K
El-Sayed, 8+ pts 16% ▼ 1 15¢ 17¢ $5.88 535
El-Sayed, 9+ pts 10% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 36.3K
El-Sayed, 11+ pts 6% 5¢ 6¢ $15.63 12.2K
El-Sayed, 13+ pts 5% 4¢ 6¢ $15.87 2.8K
El-Sayed, 15+ pts 3% 3¢ 3¢ $29.41 8.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Michigan Senate

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions