Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
26%Carl, 33+ pts
3060
Install
Maine Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
1.76median
-115
Median 1.76
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.67 on Oct 20, 1.76 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson, 1+ pts | 56% | ▲ 2 | 56¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 75.9K |
| Jackson, 3+ pts | 40% | 39¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 88.8K | |
| Jackson, 5+ pts | 24% | ▲ 6 | 23¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 53.3K |
| Jackson, 7+ pts | 13% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 23.2K |
| Jackson, 9+ pts | 8% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 13.5K |
| Jackson, 11+ pts | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.82 | 4.4K |
| Jackson, 13+ pts | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | 4.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Maine Senate
Search ›-
Personal attacks fly in final Maine Senate debateFox News Personal attacks fly in final Maine Senate debate Harris Faulkner anchors midterms coverage as candidates clash in crucial Senate debates across key battleground state races. 'The Faulkner Focus' zeroes in on pivotal Senate races… -
Troy Jackson tells Susan Collins to ‘shut up’ during final Maine Senate debateThe Washington Post Troy Jackson, the Democratic nominee in Maine’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race, told incumbent Republican Sen. Susan Collins to “shut up” during their fourth and final debate Thursday night. The comment came after… -
Maine Senate race could determine balance of powerABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos -
Heckler interrupts the final Maine Senate debateNBC News Morning Rundown: Teen suspect dead after school shooting, Trump calls Ukraine's renewed oil strikes a ‘disgrace,’ and debunking an election conspiracy Heckler interrupts the final Maine Senate debate -
'SHUT UP': Maine Senate debate goes off the railsFox News 'SHUT UP': Maine Senate debate goes off the rails Maine Democratic challenger Troy Jackson told Republican incumbent Sen. Susan Collins to 'shut up' after a protester's interruption derailed the candidates' final debate. -
Maine Senate debate turns testy as Dem tells Collins to 'shut up'Fox News Maine Senate debate turns testy as Dem tells Collins to 'shut up' Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson told Republican Sen. Susan Collins to "shut up" after she tied him to a heckler who interrupted their Thursday… -
Protester interrupts Maine Senate debate targeting GOP Sen. Susan CollinsNBC News Protester interrupts Maine Senate debate targeting GOP Sen. Susan Collins 16-year-old suspect in Bend, Oregon used long gun to shoot at school's locked doors, police say ‘This is a horrible day’: Oregon Gov. Kotek offers support… -
Jackson doesn't regret telling Collins to 'shut up' after protester interrupted Maine Senate debateKSAT Jeffries likes Democrats' chances in race for the House as he campaigns in Ohio Massachusetts GOP lieutenant governor candidate suspends campaign after arrest in car crash Private jet skids off runway, hits fence at Las Vegas airport… -
Personal jabs, billionaire donors and party loyalty fuel heated Maine Senate debateSen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, blasted Democratic candidate Troy Jackson at a Senate debate on Thursday, Oct. 8, after he insinuated she is financially invested in the conflict. (Credit: WMTW, Oct. 8) Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, and… - Troy Jackson tells Susan Collins to 'shut up' during heated Maine Senate debateThe Washington Post The Maine Senate campaign between Democrat Troy Jackson and Republican Sen. Susan Collins is heating up PORTLAND, Maine — Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson told Republican Sen. Susan Collins to “shut up” during a…
-
Maine Senate race odds and predictions 2026Live Maine Senate race odds on Kalshi: the Jackson vs. Collins price, plus who is running, the latest polls, and what could decide the race. News and updates (as of October 16, 2026): Market: Kalshi traders price Democrat Troy Jackson at… -
Protester interrupts Maine Senate debate and confronts GOP Sen. Collins on data centersCNN Protester interrupts Maine Senate debate and confronts GOP Sen. Collins on data centers During Maine's Senate debate Thursday night, a protester shouted at GOP Sen. Susan Collins about the impact of data centers, claiming they are…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
15%Figures, 5+ pts
232
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
39.2median
2454
Median 39.2Middle half 33 – 45.2
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
60.2median
4278
Median 60.2Middle half 53.3 – 65.3
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
21.9median
737
Median 21.9Middle half 18.5 – 32
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
28.5median
1848
Median 28.5Middle half 22.8 – 37.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.