Massachusetts's 8th District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $398 traded · $398 at stake · prices read 6 h ago

The odds

43.6median
2555
Median 43.6Middle half 37.7 – 48.6

How the odds have moved

Median: 43.9 on Oct 19, 43.6 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Lynch, 28+ pts 95% 91¢ 100¢
Lynch, 31+ pts 93% 88¢ 97¢ $1.03 59.00
Lynch, 34+ pts 87% 82¢ 91¢ $1.10 50.00
Lynch, 37+ pts 78% ▼ 1 73¢ 82¢ $1.22 250
Lynch, 40+ pts 67% 62¢ 72¢ $1.39 109
Lynch, 43+ pts 53% 48¢ 58¢ $1.72 55.00
Lynch, 46+ pts 39% 34¢ 44¢ $2.27
Lynch, 49+ pts 23% 21¢ 25¢ $4.00
Lynch, 52+ pts 13% 12¢ 14¢ $7.14 32.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Massachusetts

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions