Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
Install
Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
The odds
97%McGovern, 26+ pts
1747
How the odds have moved
McGovern, 20+ pts: 97% on Oct 20, 97% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McGovern, 20+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 100¢ | 1.3K | ||
| McGovern, 23+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 100¢ | 55.00 | ||
| McGovern, 26+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 5.00 | |
| McGovern, 29+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | 60.00 | ||
| McGovern, 32+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 100¢ | 190 | ||
| McGovern, 35+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 100¢ | 70.00 | ||
| McGovern, 38+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | 1.5K | ||
| McGovern, 41+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 100¢ | 160 | ||
| McGovern, 44+ pts | 97% | 95¢ | 100¢ | 3.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Massachusetts
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Should Massachusetts repeal law legalizing marijuana? Voters will decide on Election Day.CBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA News This Morning Sunday 8am -
Massachusetts weighs rolling back legal marijuanaFox News' Douglas Kennedy reports on the debate in Massachusetts as voters prepare to decide on rolling back legal marijuana. Massachusetts weighs rolling back legal marijuana Fox News' Douglas Kennedy reports on the debate in… -
Massachusetts Congressman Roasted Over Pro-Gun-Control ArgumentThe state's largest teachers union has spent more than half a million dollars on the "Yes On 9" campaign, Gov. Maura Healey has actively campaigned against repeal, and now Democrat Rep. Jake Auchincloss is actively campaigning to keep the… -
A Massachusetts mother and daughter talk zero screen parenting experienceThere is an effort on Beacon Hill to ban public school students from accessing their cellphones while at school. And some school districts, including Boston Public Schools, are considering a sweeping ban on student cell phones at school… -
Why this Massachusetts independent is traveling for Troy | OpinionCharlie Welch of Northampton, Massachusetts, holds a bachelor’s degree in American history from Harvard College and an MBA in finance and economics from New York University. He runs a real estate agency. I have never before spent my time… -
2026 Massachusetts U.S. House District 4 Republican primary election resultsMassachusetts U.S. House District 4 Republican primary election results. The Globe is tracking the results from the 2026 Massachusetts U.S. House District 4 Republican primar ... 2026 Massachusetts U.S. House District 4 Republican primary… -
Massachusetts must make democracy more accessible with Election Day voter registrationEvery election season, the spotlight falls on candidates. Campaign advertisements flood our screens; political debates make headlines and voters consider competing visions for the country’s future. On Nov. 3, Massachusetts voters will have… -
‘AK Guy’ Roasts Dem Congressman Over Ad Supporting Massachusetts Gun BanGOP Texas congressional nominee Brandon Herrera called out Dem Massachusetts Rep. Jake Auchincloss over ignorance of federal firearms laws Saturday. Republican Texas congressional nominee Brandon Herrera called out Democratic Massachusetts… -
Leftie Massachusetts Senator Puts Out Call for Interns — but It's Clear Who Needs Not ApplyAfter what we’ve seen historically, it takes a brave soul indeed to apply for a job as an intern to a Democrat politician. Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA) is putting out the call anyway, and although he doesn’t come right out and say it, it sure… -
Ukrainians With TPS in Massachusetts Keep Status, for NowToday I write to you about an update regarding Temporary Protected Status, or TPS, for Ukrainians. This legal program shields immigrants whose home countries are undergoing armed conflict, environmental disasters, or other extraordinary… -
Massachusetts residents to decide practicality, feasibility of same-day voter registration through Question 4Secretary of State William Galvin thinks Massachusetts citizens should be able to register to vote on Election Day, and he’s hoping voters will agree on Nov. 3. In Massachusetts, residents who plan to vote on Election Day have to register… -
Keller @ Large: Next Massachusetts governor will face electricity cost crisisUpdated on: September 29, 2022 / 7:03 AM EDT / CBS Boston BOSTON - Remember the "Snowpocalypse" winter of 2015 that greeted newly-elected Governor Charlie Baker? The next governor will face a crisis of their own - electricity costs that…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions