Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
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Kentucky Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
18.7median
834
Median 18.7Middle half 13.1 – 24.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 17 on Oct 19, 18.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barr, 10+ pts | 85% | 83¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | ||
| Barr, 12+ pts | 81% | ▼ 1 | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 181 |
| Barr, 14+ pts | 71% | 68¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 87.00 | |
| Barr, 16+ pts | 64% | ▼ 1 | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 375 |
| Barr, 18+ pts | 54% | ▼ 1 | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | 463 |
| Barr, 20+ pts | 44% | ▼ 1 | 40¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 114 |
| Barr, 22+ pts | 33% | ▼ 1 | 30¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 215 |
| Barr, 24+ pts | 26% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 45.00 |
| Barr, 26+ pts | 20% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 187 |
| Barr, 28+ pts | 12% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Barr, 30+ pts | 7% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| Barr, 32+ pts | 5% | 0¢ | 9¢ | $10.64 | 7.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kentucky Senate
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2026 US Senate Predictions | Which party will win the Kentucky Senate race?Find out which party will win the 2026 Kentucky Senate race. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions, politics, and much more! You can even make money on PredictIt!… -
Iran, gas, AI: Barr and Booker spar in the only TV debate for Kentucky Senate this yearThe Paducah Sun Charles Booker, right, speaks during a debate at the WKYT studios in Lexington on Monday. Andy Barr, R-Ky, speaks during a debate at the WKYT studios in Lexington on Monday. Charles Booker speaks during a debate at the WKYT… -
Fact✓Check | Barr’s $2,800 tax claim in Kentucky Senate debateWBKO Fact✓Check | Barr’s $2,800 tax claim in Kentucky Senate debate Vice President J.D. Vance has not yet arrived in North Platte, but his planned visit is already filling area hotels. Pepsi Spotlight: Sophomore stat sheet stuffer, Cait… -
Kentucky Senate candidates intensify campaigns ahead of Election DayWith Election Day just two weeks away, Senate candidates Andy Barr and Charles Booker are ramping up their campaigns with ads, endorsements, and public appearances to sway Kentucky voters. Fresh off Monday night's contentious debate, both… -
Trump Seethes That ‘Fox is Doing Little to Help’ Republicans Win the Election — Hours After Appearing on the Network for a Fawning InterviewPresident Donald Trump seethed on Sunday over Fox News giving air time to Democrats in the lead-up to the consequential midterm elections. “FoxNews is spending far too much time putting on the OPPONENTS of Republican Party Candidates… -
Barr, Booker spar over costs and war in only Kentucky Senate debateLEX 18 News Barr, Booker spar over costs and war in only Kentucky Senate debate -
Kentucky Senate candidates Barr, Booker take debate stageFOX19 | Cincinnati Kentucky Senate candidates Barr, Booker take debate stage Ohio’s EdChoice voucher program ruled unconstitutional by appeals court Tri-State serial flasher indicted, seventh indecent exposure charge Daily Brief: Blocked… -
Kentucky senate debate to take place Monday nightWBKO Kentucky senate debate to take place Monday night Andy Barr and Charles Booker take the debate stage tonight for U.S Senate Candidate forum set for Oct. 19 in Bowling Green Residents react to Candidate forum in Bowling Green Andy Barr… - Fact✓Check | Barr, Booker spar over tariffs and bourbon ahead of Kentucky Senate raceLEXINGTON, Ky. (WKYT) - Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker are both making arguments about Sen. Mitch McConnell’s trade record and tariffs as they compete for his Senate seat. McConnell is Kentucky’s longest-serving senator…
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Barr and Booker clash on affordability, war and term limits in only Kentucky Senate debateLEXINGTON, Ky. (LEX NEWS) — With Election Day just over two weeks away, Kentucky voters got a side-by-side look at the two men fighting to replace Mitch McConnell in the U.S. Senate. Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker clashed… -
Barr, Booker meet in first and only Kentucky Senate debateKENTUCKY (WFIE) - Andy Barr and Charles Booker will debate for the first and only time tonight in Kentucky’s U.S. Senate race. The debate aired live at 6 p.m. on 14 News on Fox. You can watch the full thing below. Both candidates say they… - Musk-backed PACs have spent over $400 million on advertisingLast week, Elon Musk became the largest individual political donor in modern U.S. history. His largest donations have gone to Republican-aligned PACs, including the Senate Leadership Fund PAC, America PAC, Congressional Leadership Fund…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions