Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
Install
Iowa Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
39%Turek, 1+ pts
07
How the odds have moved
Turek, 1+ pts: 36% on Oct 24, 39% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turek, 1+ pts | 39% | 38¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 283 | |
| Turek, 2+ pts | 37% | ▲ 2 | 36¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | 32.5K |
| Turek, 3+ pts | 25% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 2.5K |
| Turek, 4+ pts | 17% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 12.6K |
| Turek, 5+ pts | 14% | ▼ 1 | 12¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 82.00 |
| Turek, 6+ pts | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 3.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa Senate
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Meet the candidates running for Iowa Senate District 47Republican State Sen. Scott Webster has highlighted tax cuts and reduced regulations in his run for reelection, and physician and school board member Democrat Nikhil Wagle has called for bolstering public education and healthcare access in… -
Iowa Senate Candidates Rep. Ashley Hinson & Josh Turek and Gov. Wes Moore, Sunday on “This Week” with Co-anchor Jonathan KarlThis is a listing for 'This Week' airing Sunday, October 25, 2026. IOWA SENATE CANDIDATES REP. ASHLEY HINSON & JOSH TUREK AND GOV. WES MOORE, SUNDAY ON “THIS WEEK” WITH CO-ANCHOR JONATHAN KARL (R) Iowa Senate Nominee (D) Iowa Senate… -
NRSC attacks Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek over farm vote recordEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Iowa Senate District 43 - Meghann FosterMeghann Foster is seeking to be elected to represent District 43 in the Iowa Senate in the Nov. 3 general election. Foster is running unopposed. Meghann Foster is running for the Iowa Senate to represent District 43, serving Coralville… -
Iowa Senate District 45 - Janice WeinerJanice Weiner is seeking to be re-elected to represent District 45 in the Iowa Senate in the Nov. 3, 2026 general election. Weiner is running unopposed. What are the three most important issues the state is facing? What will you do to… -
Trump rallies for Hinson in tight Iowa Senate raceWith less than two weeks until the midterm elections, President Trump is headed to a rally in Sioux City, Iowa today in support of Republican Senate candidate Ashley Hinson. MS NOW White House Reporter Laura Barrón-López shares reactions… -
Election 2026: Analyst breaks down tight Iowa senate raceWOWT Election 2026: Analyst breaks down tight Iowa senate race Thune rallies for Ricketts in Fremont as election nears Josh Turek campaigns in Council Bluffs for Iowa Senate seat Greenfield fire station rebuilt as FEMA signals funding… -
Josh Turek campaigns in Council Bluffs for Iowa Senate seatWOWT Josh Turek campaigns in Council Bluffs for Iowa Senate seat Thune rallies for Ricketts in Fremont as election nears 2 taken to hospital in shooting at West Omaha gas station Scene video: 2 taken to hospital in shooting at West Omaha… - Trump Rallies With Ashley Hinson in Sioux City as Iowa Senate Race TightensPublished 22 Oct 2026, 16:38 UTC Trump holds rally in Sioux City to boost Hinson in Iowa's open Senate seat. Hinson previously pledged to be Trump's top ally but faces pushback from some GOP candidates. Directory totals describe our source…
- Trump rallies to shore up Iowa Senate race for Ashley HinsonThe president visited Sioux City, part of deep-red Western Iowa, in an effort to boost GOP turnout in a state that was once solidly Republican.
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Josh Turek says Iowa Senate race will be 'closest election on the map'Josh Turek, left, has a conversation with J.D. Scholten, right, as part of a U.S. Senate campaign stop at the Morningside University campus in Sioux City on Tuesday. Turek, the Democratic nominee, won a primary which featured Scholten, a… -
Ashley Hinson Rips ‘Ridiculous’ Vance Attack on GOP Critics of Ramaswamy AdOct 25, 2026 at 03:08 PM EDT Oct 25, 2026 at 04:27 PM EDT Republican Iowa Senate candidate Ashley Hinson criticized Vice President JD Vance over his response to GOP criticism of Vivek Ramaswamy’s controversial campaign ad featuring the…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions