Florida's 17th District margin of victory

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $482 traded · $339 at stake · prices read 11 h ago

The odds

17.2median
-234
Median 17.2Middle half 11.9 – 22.9

How the odds have moved

Median: 16.1 on Oct 19, 17.2 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Steube, 1+ pts 96% 93¢ 99¢ $1.01
Steube, 4+ pts 95% 91¢ 99¢ $1.01
Steube, 7+ pts 92% 87¢ 96¢ $1.04 68.00
Steube, 10+ pts 83% ▼ 1 78¢ 87¢ $1.15 224
Steube, 13+ pts 71% ▼ 1 66¢ 75¢ $1.33 50.00
Steube, 16+ pts 56% ▼ 1 52¢ 61¢ $1.64 50.00
Steube, 19+ pts 41% ▼ 1 37¢ 44¢ $2.27 271
Steube, 22+ pts 28% ▼ 1 24¢ 33¢ $3.03
Steube, 25+ pts 17% ▼ 1 12¢ 21¢ $4.76 372
Steube, 28+ pts 8% ▼ 1 4¢ 12¢ $8.33
Steube, 31+ pts 4% 9¢ $11.36

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Florida

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  • Florida’s new TrumpPOLITICO · 22 h agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/23/2026 06:05 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Friday. As Election Day bears…
  • Trump casts his midterm ballot early in FloridaNBC News · 25 h agoWEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — President Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived at their West…
  • Florida governor race tightens in home stretch as Election Day nearsFox News · 2 h agoFlorida Republican gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds joins 'The Faulkner Focus' to discuss his tightening race, President Donald Trump's midterm campaign blitz and Nicki Minaj's growing role in conservative politics on 'The Faulkner…
  • David Jolly pushes back on Trump's criticism in Florida governor's raceFox News · 3 h agoFlorida gubernatorial candidate David Jolly joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss his platform in the race against Rep. Byron Donalds. David Jolly pushes back on Trump's criticism in Florida governor's race Florida gubernatorial candidate…
  • Orthodox Jews flee NY for Florida amid rising antisemitismNew York Post · 31 h agoMore than 100 Orthodox Jewish families, fed up with rising antisemitism and political dysfunction in New York, are planning to join the 60 who already fled the state for a new community in Florida — only for far-right influencers to…
  • Teen arrested in Florida A&M shooting that wounded 11 after homecoming gameCBS News · 3 h agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Teen arrested in Florida…
  • How social media clips can impact local elections in South FloridaCBS News · 28 h agoIn the era of social media, short clips posted online these can often spark conversations and debates ahead of elections. With the midterms just days away, we asked South Floridians their thoughts on how clips on social media impacts…
  • Effort to stop TV stations from running Hope Florida ad blockedCBS News · 29 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 8:57 AM EDT / CBS Miami Attorney General James Uthmeier, the Republican Party of Florida and at least two state attorneys, threatened legal action – and possible criminal prosecution – if TV stations ran ads about the…
  • Trump casts his midterm election ballot early in FloridaCNBC · 45 h agoPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived together at their West Palm Beach…
  • Venezuelans in South Florida weigh Maria Corina Machado's return and what comes next for the countryCBS News · 18 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 8:11 PM EDT / CBS Miami Patrons at a Venezuelan restaurant in South Florida gathered Sunday to discuss news of opposition leader Maria Corina Machado's return to Venezuela, weighing questions about the country's future…
  • South Florida voters hit polls on first Saturday of early votingCBS News · 41 h agoCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. South Florida voters hit…
  • Florida attorney general pushes for fetal personhood and an end to all abortions in stateCBS News · 29 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 9:07 AM EDT / CBS Miami In a video podcast with an anti-abortion activist released earlier this month, Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier boasted that he would "use every tool in his office" to eliminate abortion…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions