Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.8
Install
Florida's 14th District margin of victory
The odds
3.31median
-135
Median 3.31
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.38 on Oct 19, 3.31 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castor, 2+ pts | 59% | ▼ 1 | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 2.00 |
| Castor, 5+ pts | 39% | 34¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 5.00 | |
| Castor, 8+ pts | 22% | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 2.0K | |
| Castor, 11+ pts | 10% | 5¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 704 | |
| Castor, 14+ pts | 8% | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.63 | 392 | |
| Castor, 17+ pts | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | 733 | |
| Castor, 20+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | 102 | |
| Castor, 23+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 100 | |
| Castor, 26+ pts | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 100 | ||
| Castor, 29+ pts | 2% | 5¢ | $20.41 | 56.00 | ||
| Castor, 32+ pts | 2% | 5¢ | $21.74 | 103 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida
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Florida’s new TrumpThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/23/2026 06:05 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Friday. As Election Day bears… -
Trump casts his midterm ballot early in FloridaWEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — President Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived at their West… -
Florida governor race tightens in home stretch as Election Day nearsFlorida Republican gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds joins 'The Faulkner Focus' to discuss his tightening race, President Donald Trump's midterm campaign blitz and Nicki Minaj's growing role in conservative politics on 'The Faulkner… -
David Jolly pushes back on Trump's criticism in Florida governor's raceFlorida gubernatorial candidate David Jolly joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss his platform in the race against Rep. Byron Donalds. David Jolly pushes back on Trump's criticism in Florida governor's race Florida gubernatorial candidate… -
Teen arrested in Florida A&M shooting that wounded 11 after homecoming gameCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Teen arrested in Florida… -
Orthodox Jews flee NY for Florida amid rising antisemitismMore than 100 Orthodox Jewish families, fed up with rising antisemitism and political dysfunction in New York, are planning to join the 60 who already fled the state for a new community in Florida — only for far-right influencers to… -
How social media clips can impact local elections in South FloridaIn the era of social media, short clips posted online these can often spark conversations and debates ahead of elections. With the midterms just days away, we asked South Floridians their thoughts on how clips on social media impacts… -
Effort to stop TV stations from running Hope Florida ad blockedOctober 25, 2026 / 8:57 AM EDT / CBS Miami Attorney General James Uthmeier, the Republican Party of Florida and at least two state attorneys, threatened legal action – and possible criminal prosecution – if TV stations ran ads about the… -
Trump casts his midterm election ballot early in FloridaPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived together at their West Palm Beach… -
Venezuelans in South Florida weigh Maria Corina Machado's return and what comes next for the countryOctober 25, 2026 / 8:11 PM EDT / CBS Miami Patrons at a Venezuelan restaurant in South Florida gathered Sunday to discuss news of opposition leader Maria Corina Machado's return to Venezuela, weighing questions about the country's future… -
Border Patrol agents spotted at Florida early voting site were trying to cast ballots, election official saysOctober 26, 2026 / 11:58 AM EDT / CBS Miami Border patrol agents seen at a North Florida early voting site were attempting to vote early after realizing they would not be in the state on Election Day, officials said. According to Mark… -
South Florida voters hit polls on first Saturday of early votingCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. South Florida voters hit…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.6median
2454
Median 38.6Middle half 32.7 – 43.5
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.3median
4272
Median 59.3Middle half 54.3 – 63.6
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 29
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.2median
1548
Median 26.2Middle half 20.6 – 31.5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions