Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
26%Carl, 33+ pts
3060
Install
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
The odds
27%Gray, 2+ pts
-18
How the odds have moved
Gray, 2+ pts: 27% on Oct 20, 27% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray, 2+ pts | 27% | ▲ 8 | 14¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 3.0K |
| Gray, 5+ pts | 11% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 2.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida
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Florida GOP sues Democrats, TV stations to stop ad citing leaked Hope Florida grand jury reportOctober 19, 2026 / 5:12 PM EDT / CBS/News Service of Florida The Republican Party of Florida filed suit on Friday against the Florida Democratic Party, many of its candidates, and a slew of television stations, seeking to stop the airing… -
The fight for Florida's 16th DistrictKimberly Leonard's must-read briefing on what's hot, crazy or shady about politics in the Sunshine State You will now start receiving email updates 10/19/2026 07:00 AM EDT Former Sarasota Mayor Kelly Kirschner is the Democratic nominee for… -
Beautiful week ahead for South FloridaCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Beautiful week ahead for… -
Powerful nor'easter bears down from Florida to New JerseyA nor'easter kicked up massive waves along the Atlantic coast on Monday, putting over 8 million people from the Jersey Shore to Florida under alerts for coastal flooding and high surf. Rob Marciano reports and has the forecast. Powerful… -
Florida issues arrest warrant for Cuba’s Raúl CastroFlorida Attorney General James Uthmeier on Monday announced that the state had secured an arrest warrant for former Cuban president Raúl Castro, charging him with conspiracy to commit murder in the fatal downing of two civilian aircraft in… -
Early voting begins Monday in South FloridaWBZ News Weekend 11pm CBS News Chicago Weekends 10pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 11pm CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 8pm CBS News New York Weekend 11pm CBS News Philadelphia Weekend 11pm KDKA News Weekend 11pm CBS News Texas Weekend 10pm -
Florida voters detail their top issues ahead of midtermsFox News' Steve Doocy reports live from Jupiter, Fla., to hear directly from local voters ahead of the midterms. Florida voters detail their top issues ahead of midterms Fox News' Steve Doocy reports live from Jupiter, Fla., to hear… -
Speaker pulled from panel alongside CPAC over Florida shooting controversyA speaker has been pulled from a panel planned to coincide with the upcoming Conservative Political Action Conference after his website propagated evidence-free theories about survivors of last week’s Florida high school shooting, a… -
New arrest warrant issued for Cuba's Raúl Castro, Florida AG announcesCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. New arrest warrant… -
Florida voters sound off on the economy, socialism as early voting beginsFox News' Steve Doocy joins Florida voters to discuss the economy and other issues driving them to the polls as early voting gets underway. Florida voters sound off on the economy, socialism as early voting begins Fox News' Steve Doocy… -
Steve Doocy speaks with Florida voters as early voting kicks offFox News' Steve Doocy speaks with Florida voters in Jupiter as early voting begins. Early voting begins in more t ... Steve Doocy speaks with Florida voters as early voting kicks off Fox News' Steve Doocy speaks with Florida voters in… -
Facing South Florida: 2026 midterm elections heat upCBS News Facing South Florida: 2026 midterm elections heat up Sen. Ashley Moody stumbles when asked about role in Hope Florida scandal Miami mayor makes case for public safety bond issue on midterm election ballots Teacher pay, school…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
15%Figures, 5+ pts
232
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
39.2median
2454
Median 39.2Middle half 33 – 45.2
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
60.2median
4278
Median 60.2Middle half 53.3 – 65.3
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
21.9median
737
Median 21.9Middle half 18.5 – 32
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
28.5median
1848
Median 28.5Middle half 22.8 – 37.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.