Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Delaware Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)
The odds
28.8median
1240
Median 28.8Middle half 24.8 – 32.7
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.4 on Oct 20, 28.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats, 14+ pts | 96% | 94¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 34.00 | |
| Democrats, 16+ pts | 96% | 93¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 44.00 | |
| Democrats, 18+ pts | 95% | ▲ 3 | 91¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 549 |
| Democrats, 20+ pts | 93% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 18.00 |
| Democrats, 22+ pts | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.08 | 200 | |
| Democrats, 24+ pts | 79% | ▼ 2 | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 24.00 |
| Democrats, 26+ pts | 69% | ▼ 3 | 65¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 26.00 |
| Democrats, 28+ pts | 56% | ▼ 6 | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 613 |
| Democrats, 30+ pts | 42% | ▼ 7 | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 596 |
| Democrats, 32+ pts | 28% | ▼ 8 | 24¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 855 |
| Democrats, 34+ pts | 19% | ▼ 11 | 15¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 2.0K |
| Democrats, 36+ pts | 12% | ▼ 4 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | |
| Democrats, 38+ pts | 6% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Delaware Senate
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Nicole Poore faces Mark Esposito in Delaware Senate District 12Voters in Delaware's 12th Senate District will choose between incumbent Sen. Nicole Poore and Republican challenger Mark Esposito in one of the 10 Senate races on the Nov. 3 ballot. The winner will represent Delaware City, Port Penn and… -
Delaware 2026 midterm election: Key dates and deadlines, early voting detailsAs the midterm elections draw closer, Americans are sounding off about which issues are impacting their lives. A recent FOX News poll found that cost of living is among the most important economic issues facing voters. DELAWARE - We’re… -
Bill To Legalize, Regulate & Restrict Who Can Ride E-Scooters Passes PA HouseHome » Bill To Legalize, Regulate & Restrict Who Can Ride E-Scooters Passes PA House It would also allow Pittsburgh, Scranton and more than 50 other cities to establish e-scooter sharing programs. Love them or hate them, electric scooters… -
Bill to legalize, regulate and restrict who can ride e-scooters passes state HouseIndependent reporting on state government that impacts Pennsylvania communities — free to read and republish Support the Capital-Star today It would also allow Pittsburgh, Scranton and more than 50 other cities to establish e-scooter… -
State Senator introduces freedom of information law overhaulA leading Democrat in the Delaware Senate wants to reform the state’s Freedom of Information Act by opening broad sections of government business to scrutiny, while also giving officials the ability to deny records requests they deem… -
Top Delaware Senate Democrat calls for reforms to state’s transparency lawWhy Should Delaware Care?The Delaware Freedom of Information Act and its corresponding statute at the federal level provide the rules that require government officials to release records to the public, when requested. But for years… - General election early voting begins Oct. 22County Council District 4 candidates differ on growthFriday, October 9, 2026 District 4 candidates Cuccia, Hudson split on development, energyFriday, October 9, 2026 District 20 candidates talk about prioritiesSaturday, October 3, 2026…
- Wide-ranging transparency bill would eliminate UD's FOIA exemptionSenate Majority Leader Bryan Townsend (D-Newark/Glasgow) has proposed a major rewrite of the state's Freedom of Information Act. This story was produced by Spotlight Delaware and is shared here through a partnership with the Newark Post…
Related markets
All senate ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
23%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 33.3 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
57median
4272
Median 57Middle half 52.4 – 61.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions