Alabama's 1st District margin of victory
25.6median
1560
Median 25.6Middle half 20.3 – 30.7
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Colorado's 2nd District margin of victory
The odds
48.8median
3161
Median 48.8Middle half 43.8 – 53.3
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.1 on Oct 20, 48.8 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neguse, 34+ pts | 94% | 93¢ | 94¢ | $1.07 | 1.9K | |
| Neguse, 37+ pts | 94% | 90¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 3.1K | |
| Neguse, 40+ pts | 89% | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.07 | 375 | |
| Neguse, 43+ pts | 79% | ▼ 1 | 74¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 67.00 |
| Neguse, 46+ pts | 65% | ▼ 1 | 60¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 250 |
| Neguse, 49+ pts | 49% | ▼ 1 | 45¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 106 |
| Neguse, 52+ pts | 31% | ▼ 1 | 28¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 183 |
| Neguse, 55+ pts | 18% | ▼ 1 | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 790 |
| Neguse, 58+ pts | 7% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Colorado
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Colorado inmates who are eligible to vote cast their ballotsOctober 25, 2026 / 3:57 PM MDT / CBS Colorado With approximately a week until the midterm election, Colorado inmates who are eligible to vote are casting their ballots. On Saturday, the Clear Creek Clerk and Recorder's Office held… -
Investigating claims Trump tried to strong-arm Colorado into releasing Tina Peters | 60 MinutesCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS News New York Weekend 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
60 Minutes Transcript: Trump's demand for former Colorado election official Tina Peters to be freedOctober 25, 2026 / 7:00 PM EDT / CBS News On the eve of the midterms, President Trump won't stop talking about voter fraud. Yet he has gone to extraordinary lengths for an election official convicted of helping breach the very voting… -
Colorado, Utah contend with heavy floodingCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Several states… -
One-on-one interview with Colorado Republican gubernatorial candidate Victor MarxOctober 23, 2026 / 9:55 PM MDT / CBS Colorado Colorado Republican gubernatorial candidate Victor Marx recently sat down with CBS Colorado to discuss his experiences, his campaign and the issues facing Coloradans ahead of the Nov. 3… -
Colorado among six states that will have federal election monitorsCBS News Colorado among six states that will have federal election monitors Immigrant priest struggles with health issues after ICE detention Family claims Mom got further injuries during stay at Aurora rehab center Mandatory evacuations… -
Colorado National Guard assisting Archuleta County with evacuations, search and rescue for flooding in Southwest ColoradoPer Gov. Jared Polis verbal declaration of disaster emergency, nearly 100 Colorado National Guard (CONG) members are supporting Archuleta County authorities, providing aviation and ground search and rescue assistance for flooding in… -
Colorado Springs' 'missing middle' still priced out of homeownershipCOLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. (KOAA) — Colorado Springs Mayor Yemi Mobolade said the city has added roughly 9,100 housing units since he took office, but he acknowledged the "missing middle" population he pledged to help on the campaign trail… -
Interior secretary warns Arizona over Colorado River lawsuitPHOENIX — Arizona's historic legal fight over Colorado River water is drawing a warning from one of the Trump administration's top officials, even as an Arizona congressman defends the state's decision to take the federal government to… -
Column | Lewis: Fixing affordability in ColoradoNewsNews | Oct 24, 2026 Affordability is the largest single issue for most Americans today. Don’t even get me started about the incompetence and failures at the federal level. Gas prices, interest rates, tariff taxes, inflation. We would… -
Colorado pastor released from immigration detention after 13 monthsA 79-year-old Colorado pastor who lost 35 pounds and the strength to walk after being placed in immigration detention 13 months ago has been released by order of a federal magistrate judge. The Rev. Edward Nalwamba left the Aurora… -
GOP Rep. Gabe Evans on running in competitive Colorado district, data center regulation and more"The Ratepayer Protection Act," aimed at preventing utility customers from absorbing the costs of data centers, overwhelmingly passed the House but failed to advance in the Senate by three votes. Republican Rep. Gabe Evans of Colorado, who…
Related markets
All elections ›Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
24%Figures, 2+ pts
-132
Alabama's 3rd District margin of victory
38.5median
2454
Median 38.5Middle half 32.7 – 43.4
Alabama's 4th District margin of victory
59.2median
4272
Median 59.2Middle half 54.3 – 63.5
Alabama's 5th District margin of victory
23.6median
737
Median 23.6Middle half 18.5 – 28.9
Alabama's 6th District margin of victory
26.1median
1548
Median 26.1Middle half 20.6 – 31.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions