Alabama's 2nd District margin of victory
3.30median
-123
Median 3.30
Install
Alaska Governor margin of victory
The odds
4%Republicans, 2+ pts
-222
How the odds have moved
Republicans, 2+ pts: 11% on Oct 19, 4% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans, 2+ pts | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.82 | 5.00 | |
| Republicans, 6+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | ||
| Republicans, 10+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| Republicans, 14+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| Republicans, 18+ pts | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Governor
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Alaska Governor's race heats upGreg Kelly is joined by Republican Alaska Governor candidate Bernadette Wilson, who is squaring off against three others to replace term-limited Governor Mike Dunleavy Around 200 emergency personnel are deployed to fight the blaze at the… -
Alaska judge rules that candidate should be disqualified after failing to disclose financial interestsOct. 23—A state judge ruled Thursday that Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom erred when she allowed a legislative candidate to run for office despite failing to disclose his financial interests as required by law. The ruling could have implications… -
JUST IN: Heartbreak Strikes Sarah Palin as She Shares a Painful UpdateSarah Palin has shared the kind of personal announcement no one ever wants to make. The former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice-presidential nominee posted a deeply emotional message Thursday after losing the man who had been by… - JUST IN: Heartbreak Strikes Sarah Palin as She Shares a Painful Update – 100PercentFedUp.com – by IsaacSarah Palin has shared the kind of personal announcement no one ever wants to make. The former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice-presidential nominee posted a deeply emotional message Thursday after losing the man who had been by…
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Alaska declares disaster for Ketchikan after landslide damages infrastructureAlaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy declared a state disaster for Ketchikan after a landslide damaged the Ward Cove Electric Substation and other infrastructure. Substation repairs are estimated at $1.5 million. Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy has… -
Alaska Right to Life backs Bernadette Wilson for governorAlaska Right to Life Action has endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor, noting that she is the only gubernatorial candidate who engaged with the group on key pro-life priorities, while being the conservative with the clearest path to… -
Republican Treg Taylor refuses Trump’s call to exit Alaska governor’s raceFormer Alaska Attorney General Treg Taylor says he, too, is staying in the race for governor despite President Trump’s call for Republicans to unite behind small business owner Bernadette Wilson. In a Truth Social post endorsing Wilson on… -
Pres. Trump in AK, a blow-up lizard and chants about chicken poop — Alaska had a big political weekANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - It was a big political week in Alaska. Between a presidential visit, major endorsements, debates — wow, it’s been busy. We have a lot to unpack. This was a fiery one that included supporters, and a person wearing… -
Trump Gets Brutal Reality Check on Hopes of Avoiding WipeoutThe Republican effort to hold the majority slips further despite the president’s barnstorming. The Republican Party’s chances of avoiding a landslide loss in November took another hit Friday, despite President Donald Trump’s rush to help… - Trump Gets Brutal Reality Check on Hopes of Avoiding Republican WipeoutThe Republican Party’s chances of avoiding a landslide loss in November took another hit Friday, despite President Donald Trump’s rush to help GOP candidates nationwide. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted eleven more House races…
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Trump makes endorsement for Alaska governorAlaska's News Source Trump makes endorsement for Alaska governor Wasilla ready for Trump rally as president is on his way Woman sues Alaska commuter airline following plane crash INTERVIEW: A look at this year’s Statewide Elders & Youth…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions