Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
MRO Holdings
74%
72¢
76¢
$1.32
176
Synergy
70%
65¢
74¢
$1.35
141
El Salvador
66%
61¢
71¢
$1.41
Oklahoma City
46%
41¢
51¢
$1.96
19.00
Delta
27%
22¢
32¢
$3.13
90.00
Aircraft Reconfig
25%
20¢
30¢
$3.33
100
Headwind
25%
20¢
30¢
$3.33
Iran / Middle East
20%
15¢
25¢
$4.00
Pritzker
15%
10¢
20¢
$5.00
Tariff
10%
5¢
15¢
$6.67
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
El Salvador president says bodies found in Haiti are not those of hostagesBBC News · 32 h agoFour bodies handed over to special forces on a mission to Haiti to recover Salvadoran hostages are "not our men", El Salvador's president has said. Nayib Bukele said a nongovernmental organisation delivered the human remains to one of…
AAR Corp.: Some Turbulence Amidst A Big M&A MoveSeeking Alpha · 2 days agoAAR Corp. faces volatility after a major MRO Holdings acquisition, shifting from bolt-on to transformative M&A. Read why AIR stock is a Hold. - AAR Corp. faces volatility after a major MRO Holdings acquisition, shifting from bolt-on to…
El Salvador sends troops to Haiti to rescue four service membersCNN · 4 days agoEl Salvador has deployed troops to Haiti to try to rescue four Salvadoran service members believed to have been captured by Haitian gangs, according to a spokesperson for the UN-authorized multinational security mission in Haiti known as…
El Salvador Campaign Opens for 28 Feb VoteThe Rio Times · 10 h agoEL SALVADOR · POLITICS El Salvador’s campaign for the 28 February 2027 presidential vote opens on Tuesday, 27 October. President Bukele is expected to seek re-election, and Salvadorans in the United States can vote. El Salvador’s legal…
Moody’s Says El Salvador Debt Stays HighThe Rio Times · 22 h agoEL SALVADOR · ECONOMY · CREDIT RATING Credit-rating agency Moody’s says El Salvador’s pension deal with the IMF lowers the risk of a cash crunch in 2027, but it still expects the country’s debt to pass 90% of its output that year. Moody’s…
El Salvador Denies Haiti Bodies Are Its MenThe Rio Times · 35 h agoThis story is part of our coverage of the haiti crisis. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: El Salvador Expands Haiti Rescue Deployment Four badly burned bodies were handed to Salvadoran military teams at an airport…
El Salvador’s Bukele Says Bodies Found in Haiti Are Not Those of Missing SalvadoransThe Epoch Times · 16 h agoSAN SALVADOR—El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele on Saturday denied that human remains handed over to his military teams at Haiti ’s airport were the bodies of the four Salvadorans reported missing after coming under attack by gangs on…
El Salvador Expands Haiti Rescue DeploymentThe Rio Times · 47 h agoHAITI · EL SALVADOR This story is part of our coverage of the haiti crisis. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: Salvadorans Say Pensions Stopped in October El Salvador has sent about 450 troops to Haiti to look for…
El Salvador Seeks Life for 564 Gang LeadersThe Rio Times · 2 days agoEL SALVADOR · SECURITY El Salvador’s prosecutors have accused 564 Barrio 18 gang leaders, and local media say they want life terms. The mass case covers 14,497 charges. Prosecutors in El Salvador accused 564 Barrio 18 leaders on Thursday…
El Salvador sends special forces to search for troops missing in HaitiThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Salvadoran President…
El Salvador's president threatens Haitian gangs over military hostagesBBC News · 4 days agoEl Salvador's president has said he has launched a military operation to rescue four air force personnel who have been missing in Haiti since Sunday. Threatening further action, Nayib Bukele said that Wednesday's attack was "nothing"…
El Salvador Jails 71 Barrio 18 Members in Group TrialThe Rio Times · 2 days agoSECURITY · EL SALVADOR The verdict is one of several group sentences the FGR has announced this month. Together they show how President Nayib Bukele’s government is turning mass arrests into mass convictions. The defendants belonged to…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions