US labor force participation rate at year-end 2027
60.5%median
55.5%64.5%
Median 60.5%Middle half 59.36% – 61.64%
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US labor force participation rate at year-end 2026
The odds
61.42%median
55.5%64.5%
Median 61.42%Middle half 61.11% – 61.78%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 56.00% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | |||
| Above 56.50% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | |||
| Above 57.00% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | |||
| Above 57.50% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | |||
| Above 58.00% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | |||
| Above 58.50% | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.2K | |
| Above 59.00% | 98% | ▲ 1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 4.0K |
| Above 59.50% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.3K |
| Above 60.00% | 95% | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 2.2K | |
| Above 60.50% | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 2.1K | |
| Above 61.00% | 84% | 80¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 2.1K | |
| Above 61.50% | 44% | 40¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 929 | |
| Above 62.00% | 10% | 8¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 2.6K | |
| Above 62.50% | 7% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.2K | |
| Above 63.00% | 7% | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| Above 63.50% | 5% | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| Above 64.00% | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All jobs ›US labor force participation rate at year-end 2028
60.45%median
55.5%64.5%
Median 60.45%Middle half 59.25% – 61.64%
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2029
60.5%median
55.5%64.5%
Median 60.5%Middle half 59.32% – 61.7%
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2030
60.35%median
55.5%64.5%
Median 60.35%Middle half 59.06% – 61.65%
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2031
58.46%median
55.5%59%
Median 58.46%
US labor force participation rate at year-end 2032
60.5%median
55.5%64.5%
Median 60.5%Middle half 59.22% – 61.8%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.