Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026

Kalshi Economy › Growth & recession Closes Dec 31 · $13 today · $36.1K traded · $6.9K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

16.9median
1518.5
Median 16.9Middle half 16.5 – 17.3

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 15.5 million barrels 98% 97¢ 98¢ $1.02 9.7K
Above 16.0 million barrels 83% 82¢ 83¢ $1.20 9.5K
Above 16.5 million barrels 77% 76¢ 77¢ $1.30 14.0K
Above 17.0 million barrels 41% ▲ 2 40¢ 42¢ $2.38 15.0K
Above 17.5 million barrels 16% ▲ 1 13¢ 19¢ $5.26 8.8K
Above 18.0 million barrels 7% 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 9.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Kentucky, Bourbon-barrel

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.