When will South Bow announce a decision to build Keystone XL?

Kalshi Finance › Commodities Closes Jun 30, 2028 · prices read 85 min ago

The odds

Sep 2, 2027even chance by

Before Jan 1, 202711%
Before Jul 1, 202741%
Before Jan 1, 202869%
Before Jul 1, 202872%

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 11% on Oct 19, 11% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays
Before Jan 1, 2027	11%	6¢	15¢	$6.67
Before Jul 1, 2027	41%	36¢	45¢	$2.22
Before Jan 1, 2028	69%	64¢	73¢	$1.37
Before Jul 1, 2028	72%	67¢	76¢	$1.32

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: South Bow, Keystone XL

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Ovintiv (NYSE:OVV) & South Bow (NYSE:SOBO) Critical ContrastMarkets Daily · 2 days agoPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 22nd, 2026 Ovintiv (NYSE:OVV – Get Free Report) and South Bow (NYSE:SOBO – Get Free Report) are both energy companies, but which is the better stock? We will contrast the two businesses based on the strength…
Research Analysts’ Weekly Ratings Changes for South Bow (SOBO)Defense World · 6 days agoPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 19th, 2026 Several brokerages have updated their recommendations and price targets on shares of South Bow (NYSE: SOBO) in the last few weeks: The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend…
What 2026 midterm elections could mean for climate crisisMuslim Network TV · 33 h agoOn July 4, 2025, catastrophic flooding swept through the Texas Hill Country, killing 137 people, including 27 campers and counselors at Camp Mystic. Families who sent their children to summer camp would never see them alive again. The…
‘Nobody Is Buying Your BS’: Demuth’s Keystone and Obama Criticisms Draw Support After Amy Klobuchar’s Sarcastic Response in Minnesota RaceThe Nerd Stash · 2 days agoAccording to the post text accompanying the video, Klobuchar argues that gas prices, health premiums, and other costs are rising because of President Donald Trump’s war and policies such as health care cuts. News coverage of the full…
In eastern Montana, Bridger Pipeline carries both promise and riskMontana Free Press · 2 days agoOPHEIM — Jerry Arnold stands in a patch of cleared land, his combine idling behind him. To the west, acres of freshly cut grain reveal rolling hills, and to the east, three-foot stalks of wheat pulse in the wind. Arnold’s sweat-stained…
Buyer beware: share prices of publicly listed companies in the Canada Investment Summit deal book down 29 percentThe Hub · 25 h agoThirty-nine of the 40 Canadian-listed companies that pitched projects in the Canada Investment Summit’s deal book have lost ground on the stock market since Sept. 11, with a median decline of 28.8 percent, according to a Hub review of…
Canada’s economic security is under attackCanada Free Press · 2 days agoBy Frontier Centre for Public Policy Scott A. McGregor ——Bio and Archives--May 26, 2026 Canadian News, Opinion | CFP Comments | Subscribe | Email Us Frontier Centre for Public Policy Pipeline announcements in Canada and the United States…
Domino’s Pizza Group (LON:DOM) Given “Buy” Rating at Berenberg BankMarkets Daily · 2 days agoPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 22nd, 2026 Domino’s Pizza Group (LON:DOM – Get Free Report)‘s stock had its “buy” rating reissued by analysts at Berenberg Bank in a research report issued to clients and investors on Thursday, Digital Look…
South Bow (NYSE:SOBO) Stock Moved Down to Sell by Wall Street ZenMarkets Daily · 7 days agoPosted by Mitch Edgeman on Oct 18th, 2026 Wall Street Zen downgraded shares of South Bow (NYSE:SOBO – Free Report) from a hold rating to a sell rating in a report issued on Saturday,Wall Street Zen reports. Check Out Our Latest Stock…
KTTC fact-checks claims from Minnesota gubernatorial debate@KTTCTV · 3 days agoROCHESTER, Minn. (KTTC) – KTTC is fact-checking claims made during Wednesday night’s Minnesota gubernatorial debate. The debate was hosted live by KTTC in partnership with Minnesota’s Gray Media stations and FOX 9. Election Day is less…
Head to Head Review: DNB Bank ASA (OTCMKTS:DNBBY) versus Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina (NASDAQ:PEBK)Markets Daily · 2 days agoPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 22nd, 2026 DNB Bank ASA (OTCMKTS:DNBBY – Get Free Report) and Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina (NASDAQ:PEBK – Get Free Report) are both finance companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast…
Sienna’s (TSX:SIA) Ontario Push: Why It Keeps Growing@kalkineca · 3 days agoSouth Bow’s (TSX:SOBO) Keystone Audit: What the Regulator Found Celestica’s (TSX:CLS) New AI Switch: Why It Is in Focus Hut 8’s (TSX:HUT) AI Campus: What Is Taking Shape in Louisiana? CGI’s AI Agent Catalog: How the Firm Is Scaling AI…

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$108.19high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $108.19.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $10576%

Falls to $9521%
Falls to $908%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90

Finance › Commodities

US gas prices this week (Oct 26, 2026)

$4.29median

$4.08$4.52

Median $4.29Middle half $4.28 – $4.30

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Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

$4.26median

$2.40$5.10

Median $4.26Middle half $4.22 – $4.32

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US gas prices tomorrow (Oct 25, 2026)

$4.29median

$4.25$4.34

Median $4.29Middle half $4.29 – $4.29

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$102.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $102.50.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $105<1%

Falls to $95<1%
Falls to $90<1%

Finance › Commodities

Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

3.85median

3.604.30

Median 3.85Middle half 3.71 – 4.06

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onSouth Bow Corporation

Trading closesJun 30, 2028 11:59 PM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If South Bow officially announces a decision to build Keystone XL before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

South Bow CorporationSOBO · about the company35.43+2.49%

From 4Conservative Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.