October Inflation China - Annual
0.76%median
0.5%1.4%
Median 0.76%Middle half 0.7% – 0.93%
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Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in September? (September 2026)
Settled NoA day before, traders gave it 84%.
The last odds before it closed
16%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 18% on Oct 19, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✗ Yes | 16% | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices
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Consumer prices rise 1.16 per cent in first nine months of 2026Macau’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 1.16 per cent in the first nine months of the year compared to the same period in 2025, marking the highest level for the period in six years, official data indicate. According to official… -
US Inflation Latest News: September CPI Rises 3.7% as Core Inflation Beats Forecasts, S&P 500 Futures Fall and Treasury Yields Jump – Check Fed Rate Decision OutlookUS Inflation Latest News: American consumers are facing renewed pressure from rising prices, while financial markets are reassessing what the latest inflation figures mean for interest rates. September’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report… -
Bitcoin or Gold: Which Is the Better Inflation Hedge With Prices Up 3.7%?Gold and Bitcoin have both stumbled in 2026 even as consumer prices keep climbing, but the two assets tell very different stories about which one actually holds its value when inflation bites. It sounds nuts, but SoFi is giving new Active… -
Small businesses struggling with inflation amid Trump tariffs ahead of midtermsWBZ News Weekend 6pm CBS News Chicago Saturday 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm KDKA News Saturday 6pm Your Stories From Your Community Reporters CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
September CPI Hits 3.7% as Trump's Iran Action Lifts Energy Costs; Fed Rate Hikes Back in PlayU.S. inflation picked up again in September, dealing a fresh blow to a stock market that has spent most of 2026 defying gravity. The consumer price index rose 3.7% from a year earlier, the hottest reading since May and slightly above the… - Brazil consumer prices rise 0.32% in mid-OctoberSAO PAULO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Brazil's IPCA-15 consumer price index rose 0.32% in the month to mid-October, down from 0.70% in the previous month, government statistics agency IBGE said on Friday. The index had been expected to…
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Kalshi Targets December Launch of CPI Futures for Wall StreetKalshi has begun approaching major Wall Street banks and hedge funds as it prepares to launch futures contracts tied to US inflation. The prediction market operator is targeting December 2026 for the new products, which will track the… - Australian central banker says policy working, but inflation outlook worseSYDNEY: A top Australian central banker on Wednesday said tighter monetary policy was working to slow the economy but the inflation outlook had still worsened, leaving him unsure whether interest rates would need to rise further. Speaking…
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The Western Cape leads South Africa in inflationHome » Business & Finance » The Western Cape leads South Africa in inflation CPI data shows the Western Cape’s inflation is higher than the nation’s average. While the rest of the country struggles financially, the Western Cape is bearing… -
Kalshi Plans CPI Futures to Take On Traditional ExchangesKalshi, the New York outfit best known for prediction markets, is pitching large banks and hedge funds on a new futures market that keys directly off US inflation. The plan is to list contracts that reference the consumer price index and a… -
Obama hits campaign trail to stump for Democrats as midterm election nearsFormer President Barack Obama attacked the Trump administration over the Iran war and high consumer prices as he hit the campaign trail for Democrats ahead the nationwide midterm elections. On Saturday, the Democrat held a campaign rally… -
Kerala: SMA drug row backfires on CPI-MThiruvananthapuram • 24 Oct 2026, 09:05 PM The controversy over the supply of an Indian made drug to children suffering from Spinal Muscular Atrophy (SMA) has put the CPI-M on the backfoot, with questions emerging over the role of the…
Related markets
All inflation ›Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.18%median
2.51%7.49%
Median 5.18%Middle half 4.92% – 5.39%
CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.23%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.16% – 0.29%
Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
1.91%median
1%3.3%
Median 1.91%Middle half 1.7% – 2.02%
US economic state at the end of 2026?
94%Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
- Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)94%▲ 4
- Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)5%▼ 5
- Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)1%
1 more
- Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)<1%
CPI YoY in December (Dec 2026)
3.86%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.86%Middle half 3.61% – 4.27%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.