S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Oct 20, 2026)

Kalshi Finance › Indexes Closed Oct 20 · $14.3K today · $14.5K traded · $10K at stake

Settled YesA day before, traders gave it 65%.

The last odds before it closed

94%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 65% on Oct 20, 94% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Yes 94% 15.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: S&P 500, stocks, S&P Daily Up

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  • Stock futures climb as traders try to recover from the S&P 500′s losing weekCNBC · 14 h agoGlobal Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. Data also provided by ... Stock futures climb as traders try to recover from the S&P 500′s losing week
  • Tesla Makes Bullish Move, But These Five AI Stocks Lead The S&P 500Yahoo Finance · 5 h agoTesla rose strongly Monday, moving above an aggressive entry. But Lumentum and Comfort Systems headlined five AI stocks leading the S&P 500 index. Oops, something went wrong Tesla Makes Bullish Move, But These Five AI Stocks Lead The S&P…
  • S&P 500 Outlook After October Selloff: Can Stocks Recover?Crypto Daily · 11 h agoThe S&P 500 outlook has become more uncertain as US stocks enter the final week of October 2026 under pressure from rising energy prices, elevated bond yields and growing scrutiny of artificial intelligence spending. The benchmark closed…
  • From worst to first? These battered S&P 500 stocks bounce backSeeking Alpha · 13 h agoSee how the worst first-half S&P 500 stocks rebounded in the second half, led by software names. The S&P 500 stocks that suffered the steepest losses in the first half of the year have staged a broad rebound in the second half, with…
  • Midday Pulse: S&P 500 top intraday gainersSeeking Alpha · 9 h agoHere's a quick look at the stocks seeing the strongest intraday gains across the S&P 500 (SP500) on Monday. Here's a quick look at the stocks seeing the strongest intraday gains across the S&P 500 (SP500) on Monday. Wall Street's major…
  • Apple, Nvidia and other megacap stocks drag S&P 500 lower as AI spending fears weigh on marketsHindustan Times · 10 h agoApple and Nvidia are among the biggest stocks weighing on the S&P 500. Apple and Nvidia may be competing again to become the world's most valuable company, but the recent weakness in the biggest US stocks is holding back the broader stock…
  • Midday Pulse: S&P 500 top intraday losersSeeking Alpha · 9 h agoHere's a quick look at the stocks seeing the steepest intraday declines across the S&P 500 (SP500) on Monday. Here's a quick look at the stocks seeing the steepest intraday declines across the S&P 500 (SP500) on Monday. Wall Street's major…
  • 2 Safe S&P 500 Dividend Stocks Boomers Can Buy and Hold Forever24/7 Wall St. · 12 h agoOne of these household-name S&P 500 stocks has raised its dividend every single year for seven decades, and both pay their checks from cash left over after covering every other business need. Here is what stands between them and an… Yield…
  • Why Investing in S&P 500 Index Funds Is a Whole Lot Riskier These DaysThe Motley Fool · 6 h agoThe S&P 500 gives investors access to the top stocks on U.S. markets, including Nvidia and other big tech giants. It has been a terrific index to track not only for years, but also for decades. Over the long run, it has averaged an annual…
  • S&P 500 Equal Weight on track for best weighted index outperformance since 2009Seeking Alpha · 8 h agoS&P 500 equal-weight index is beating the weighted index by the most since 2009 as small caps rally. The S&P 500 equal-weight index (RSP) is on track for its largest outperformance vs. the weighted S&P 500 (SP500) since April 2009. The…
  • S&P 500 Dips As Investors Focus On Fed's Next MovesSeeking Alpha · 13 h agoThe S&P 500 closed out the trading week ending on Friday, 23 October 2026, a little under a half percent from its previous week's close. - The S&P 500 closed out the trading week ending on Friday, 23 October 2026, a little under a half…

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

$776.48high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $776.48 and as low as $751.74.

  • Reaches $770>99%
  • Reaches $78023%
  • Falls to $760>99%
  • Falls to $75040%

Already reached: ↑ $780, ↑ $770, ↓ $760, ↑ $770, ↑ $770, ↓ $770

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions