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Hurricane Kyle category?
The odds
How the odds have moved
Category 1 or above: 60% on Oct 20, 60% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Category 1 or above | 60% | 3¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 25.00 | |
| Category 3 or above | 60% | 1¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: hurricane, tropical storm, Hurricane Kyle
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Tropical Storm Champi nears mainland China after battering Taiwan, JapanA powerful storm swept towards mainland China on Saturday after battering Taiwan and Japan’s southernmost islands, knocking out power to thousands of households and forcing the cancellation of hundreds of flights. Typhoon Champi was… -
Tropical Storm Vance could intensify into a major hurricane, while Champi threatens Taiwan and JapanTropical Storm Vance is expected to strengthen into the 13th hurricane in the Pacific Basin this season as it approaches Mexico next week. Vance could intensify into a major hurricane, which would be the basin's 10th Category 3 or stronger… -
Post-tropical storm Josephine accelerating away from U.S. | NC flood, high wave impact continuesRough surf and high waves along the North Carolina Outer Banks will subside over the weekend as powerful Josephine races into the North Atlantic. The extratropical low that was Subtropical Storm Josephine will intensify during its current… - Tropical Storm Vance Expected To Become Major Hurricane Near Mexico700WLW Tropical Storm Vance is forecast to intensify rapidly and could become a major hurricane as it approaches the southwestern coast of Mexico next week. As of Thursday (October 22), Vance was located about 500 miles south of Acapulco…
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Los Cabos Will Keep Eye On Tropical Storm Vance As Hurricane Season Begins To Wind DownIf you are planning a trip to Los Cabos as the winter approaches, you might have thought you were completely in the clear when it comes to tropical weather. Traditionally, late October marks the point where the Pacific hurricane season… -
Tropical Storm Vance forms near Mexico. Will it affect Texas?From there, some weather models show that moisture from Vance could move into parts of South Texas, bringing enhanced rain chances to places like the Rio Grande Valley, San Antonio, and Corpus Christi. Exactly when could that happen?… -
Storm Josephine spins out in Atlantic, Tropical Storm Vance heads to MexicoThe forecast track of Subtropical Storm Josephine shows it heading out into the North Atlantic Ocean as an extratropical storm over the next few days. Tropical Storm Vance is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane and approach the west… -
Tropical Storm Vance forms in the Pacific as hurricane season continuesWatch Tropical Storm Vance forms in the Pacific as hurricane season continues - FWX FOX One FWX · Aired Today · 1m 1s Tropical Storm Vance formed in the Pacific, marking the first V-named storm in the eastern Pacific since 2018. The system… - Tropical storm wreaks havoc on roads, property across Southwest ColoradoRed Mountain and Wolf Creek passes are closed, as is U.S. Highway 160 west of Pagosa Springs Friday, Oct 23, 2026 10:39 AM MT Updated Friday, Oct 23, 2026 12:43 PM MT Flooding in the Animas Valley near northern Durango city limits as of…
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RivCo Officials Announce Relief For CalFresh Households Impacted By Tropical Storm RachelRIVERSIDE, CA — Riverside County residents receiving CalFresh benefits who lost food because of Tropical Storm Rachel have until Oct. 30 to report their losses and request replacement benefits, county officials announced on Thursday. The… -
Tropical Storm Vance has formed in the Pacific OceanArab Times Kuwait News Tropical Storm Vance has formed in the Pacific Ocean Vance was located about 520 miles (835 kilometers) south of Acapulco, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds were around 40 mph (65 kph), according to an advisory from… -
'Rosal' weakens further, likely to be downgraded to tropical storm by Saturday | ABS-CBN News'Rosal' weakens further, likely to be downgraded to tropical storm by Saturday ABS-CBN 'Rosal' weakens further, likely to be downgraded to tropical storm by Saturday Your go-to source for the latest news, entertainment highlights…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.