How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama? (Nov 3, 2026)
1.18median
-0.502.50
Median 1.18Middle half 0.83 – 1.59
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How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
10.2median
6.5012.5
Median 10.2Middle half 9.34 – 10.9
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.2 on Oct 20, 10.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 7 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.8K | ||
| 7 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 12.5K |
| 8 | 6% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 4.1K |
| 9 | 19% | ▼ 2 | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 5.1K |
| 10 | 34% | ▲ 2 | 30¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 6.6K |
| 11 | 34% | ▼ 2 | 31¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 18.3K |
| 12 | 3% | ▼ 5 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 9.0K |
| Above 12 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 7.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Pennsylvania
Search ›-
Working-class voters could play key role in Pennsylvania House racesPennsylvania voter James Shafer discusses how inflation, rising gas prices and the economy are affecting working-class voters ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on ‘America Reports.’ ... Working-class voters could play key role in… -
Democrats see an opportunity to tilt Pennsylvania's state legislature their wayStatehouse elections this fall could swing the balance of power in state capitals. In Pennsylvania, Democrats could take control of what has been a divided legislature. Democrats see an opportunity to tilt Pennsylvania's state legislature… -
Democrats Have Edge in Four Pennsylvania House Races“Democrats trying to unseat Republicans in four battleground Pennsylvania House districts are ahead in two of them, hold a narrow edge in a third and are tied in a fourth,” the New York Times reports. “The four seats in Pennsylvania are… -
Democrats Gain Early Grip in Pennsylvania House BattlesNew polling in Pennsylvania points to a competitive House map, but Democrats are sitting in the stronger position in all four races surveyed. The party leads in two contests, holds a slim advantage in a third and is locked in a tie in the… -
Jeffries: Democrats "on the verge of taking back control" of the HouseCNN's Manu Raju hits the campaign trail in California with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who could be just months away from becoming the first Black speaker of the House of Representatives. While confident, Jeffries is also… -
New Pennsylvania law classifies 911 dispatchers as first respondersCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. New… -
Democrats poised for significant House gains, Cook Political Report estimatesThe nonpartisan Cook Political Report projects Democrats will most likely flip between 12 and 22 seats in November — potentially giving them bigger majorities than the ones they won during blue waves in the 2006 and 2018 midterms. On… -
Democrat hoping to flip Nebraska House seat pushing for action on affordabilityCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Democrat hoping to… -
Senate Democrat Probes Tether Payments to Ex-White House Crypto Adviser’s FirmTether is facing fresh scrutiny in the Senate over millions of dollars that reportedly flowed to a firm co-owned by Bo Hines while he helped shape U.S. stablecoin law at the White House. Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., the top Democrat… -
Map Shows Closest House Races as Cook Shifts 19 Seats Toward DemocratsOct 23, 2026 at 12:01 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:04 PM EDT No seats were shifted toward Republicans in the latest update from the elections forecaster published on Friday. The update brings six seats that were previously classified as… -
Thune weighs nightmare scenario for GOP as Democrats threaten to flip HouseElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber, and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… -
In Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, Fitzpatrick-Harvie House race tightensIn Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District, which includes Bucks County and part of Montgomery County, the race between incumbent Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick and Bob Harvie, a Democrat, is heating up. Reporter Dan Snyder talked to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions