How many House seats will Democrats win in Alabama? (Nov 3, 2026)
1.31median
-0.502.50
Median 1.31Middle half 0.90 – 1.87
Install
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
7.49median
3.5010.5
Median 7.49Middle half 5.78 – 9.63
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.41 on Oct 19, 7.49 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 4 | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 578 | ||
| 4 | 10% | 8¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 1.3K | |
| 5 | 9% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.1K |
| 6 | 12% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 116 |
| 7 | 17% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 162 |
| 8 | 12% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 212 |
| 9 | 12% | ▼ 2 | 10¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 513 |
| 10 | 8% | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 651 | |
| Above 10 | 18% | 16¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 618 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Florida
Search ›-
Jeffries: Democrats "on the verge of taking back control" of the HouseCNN's Manu Raju hits the campaign trail in California with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who could be just months away from becoming the first Black speaker of the House of Representatives. While confident, Jeffries is also… -
Trumps to vote early in person in Florida on Saturday, White House official saysOctober 23, 2026 / 10:54 AM EDT / CBS News President Trump and first lady Melania Trump will vote early in person in Palm Beach County, Florida, on Saturday, a White House official said. On the campaign trail this week, the president said… -
Florida’s new TrumpThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. By DASHA BURNS, WILL STEAKIN and ADAM WREN 10/23/2026 06:05 AM EDT With help from Eli Okun, Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Friday. As Election Day bears… -
White House blasts Biden border policies ahead of Trump Florida visit, citing brutal hammer killingAn illegal immigrant from Haiti is charged with killing a female gas station clerk in Fort Meyers, Florida, on April 3, 2026. (Fort Meyers Police Department) EXCLUSIVE – The White House is highlighting the brutal hammer killing of a… -
Angie Nixon: Democrats are underinvesting in Florida because "they think that the state is racist"Florida Democratic Senate candidate Angie Nixon says she thinks donors aligned with her party have underinvested in the Sunshine State because they believe it is racist. Political strategists Mike Hahn and John McCarthy join with analysis… -
Democrat hoping to flip Nebraska House seat pushing for action on affordabilityCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Democrat hoping to… -
Trump casts his midterm ballot early in FloridaWEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — President Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived at their West… -
Democrats poised for significant House gains, Cook Political Report estimatesThe nonpartisan Cook Political Report projects Democrats will most likely flip between 12 and 22 seats in November — potentially giving them bigger majorities than the ones they won during blue waves in the 2006 and 2018 midterms. On… -
Senate Democrat Probes Tether Payments to Ex-White House Crypto Adviser’s FirmTether is facing fresh scrutiny in the Senate over millions of dollars that reportedly flowed to a firm co-owned by Bo Hines while he helped shape U.S. stablecoin law at the White House. Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., the top Democrat… -
Florida Republican-turned-Democrat responds to Trump's attacks: 'We don't care about the insults any longer'President Trump is targeting the former Republican-turned-Democrat running for governor in Florida. Trump blasted David Jolly in a campaign rally, telling the crowd, "he was thrown out of the party like a dog." In an interview with Erin… -
How Democrats could win the House, how the GOP could hang on, and where to look for a waveDemocrats must compete deeper in territory Trump won in 2024 to make big gains in this year’s midterms, but the political environment is on their side. In 2024, America swung to the right, powering Donald Trump back to the White House with… -
Map Shows Closest House Races as Cook Shifts 19 Seats Toward DemocratsOct 23, 2026 at 12:01 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:04 PM EDT No seats were shifted toward Republicans in the latest update from the elections forecaster published on Friday. The update brings six seats that were previously classified as…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions