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How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio? (Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.93 on Oct 20, 6.20 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 4 | 1% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 181 | |
| 4 | 8% | ▼ 3 | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 3.3K |
| 5 | 17% | ▼ 6 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 3.3K |
| 6 | 36% | ▲ 2 | 35¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | 3.8K |
| 7 | 23% | ▲ 7 | 22¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.0K |
| 8 | 12% | ▲ 4 | 9¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 6.7K |
| Above 8 | 5% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: House, Ohio
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Obama compares Trump's White House renovations to 'Saddam Hussein opening a Cheesecake Factory' at Ohio rallyFormer President Barack Obama returned to the campaign circuit Saturday, Oct. 24, 2026, during a midterm rally in Ohio for U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton. Former President Barack Obama mocked… -
WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama campaigns with Ohio Democrats in ClevelandFormer President Barack Obama speaks at a Cleveland campaign rally to support Ohio Democrats including former Senator Sherrod Brown. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama campaigns with Ohio Democrats in Cleveland Former President Barack Obama speaks… -
Obama slams Trump’s ‘cruelty and corruption’ at Ohio rally for DemocratsFormer US president says Trump ‘chose to make a series of bad decisions’, highlighting the US-Israel war on Iran. Former United States President Barack Obama has criticised the “cruelty and corruption” during President Donald Trump’s… -
Obama slams Trump for years of ‘chaos and cruelty’ while stumping for Democrats in Michigan, OhioGet the latest midterms campaign developments here. • Campaign blitz: President Donald Trump rallied tonight in Perry, Georgia, while former President Barack Obama held an event in Detroit with Abdul El-Sayed and other Michigan Democrats… -
Democrats poised for significant House gains, Cook Political Report estimatesThe nonpartisan Cook Political Report projects Democrats will most likely flip between 12 and 22 seats in November — potentially giving them bigger majorities than the ones they won during blue waves in the 2006 and 2018 midterms. On… -
Democrat hoping to flip Nebraska House seat pushing for action on affordabilityCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Democrat hoping to… -
Map Shows Closest House Races as Cook Shifts 19 Seats Toward DemocratsOct 23, 2026 at 12:01 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:04 PM EDT No seats were shifted toward Republicans in the latest update from the elections forecaster published on Friday. The update brings six seats that were previously classified as… -
Senate Democrat Probes Tether Payments to Ex-White House Crypto Adviser’s FirmTether is facing fresh scrutiny in the Senate over millions of dollars that reportedly flowed to a firm co-owned by Bo Hines while he helped shape U.S. stablecoin law at the White House. Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Conn., the top Democrat… -
Thune weighs nightmare scenario for GOP as Democrats threaten to flip HouseElection forecasters see Democrats taking the House, but Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., told Fox News Digital he is confident Republicans will hold the chamber, and he won’t have to work with potential Speaker Hakeem Jeffries… -
Why Cook Political Report just shifted 19 more House races in Democrats' directionDana Bash is joined by Erin Covey of the Cook Political Report as the nonpartisan ratings outlet shifts 19 House races in Democrats' direction. She explains which races they moved and why - including which Republican incumbents are facing… -
How Democrats could win the House, how the GOP could hang on, and where to look for a waveDemocrats must compete deeper in territory Trump won in 2024 to make big gains in this year’s midterms, but the political environment is on their side. In 2024, America swung to the right, powering Donald Trump back to the White House with… -
Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretchFox News Ohio Senate race tightens in final stretch Ohio Sen. Jon Husted joins ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss early voting numbers, his reelection campaign strategy and the key issues shaping the midterm elections. Ohio Senate candidate Jon…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions