Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
Install
TX-32 House winner? (2026)
The odds
86%Jace Yarbrough
- Jace Yarbrough86%▲ 1
- Dan Barrios14%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Jace Yarbrough: 85% on Oct 20, 86% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jace Yarbrough | 86% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 11.6K |
| Dan Barrios | 14% | ▲ 1 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 22.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Jace Yarbrough, Dan Barrios
Search ›-
Stand Up for Science Endorses Dan Barrios for Congress in Texas’ 32nd Congressional DistrictEIN Presswire Stand Up for Science Endorses Dan Barrios for Congress in Texas’ 32nd Congressional District SUFS endorsements promote candidates who will protect science and democracy, replace anti-science members of Congress in 2027 EIN… -
2026 midterm election forums and debates impacting Dallas votersToday is : October 20, 2026 With the 2026 Election fast approaching, here are a few forum and debate opportunities for key races. U.S. House District 32 Wednesday, October 14 at noon House District 32 candidates Dan Barrios (D) and Jace… -
Yarbrough, Barrios offer different approaches in Texas 32nd Congressional District raceDan Barrios (left) and Jace Yarbrough Republican Jace Yarbrough and Democrat Dan Barrios are offering different approaches to federal spending, immigration and the economy as they compete for Texas’ 32nd Congressional District seat in the… -
Early voting begins Monday and runs through Oct. 30Rockwall County voters will have a lengthy ballot to work through when early voting begins Monday ahead of the Nov. 3 general election. The midterm election brings contested races ranging from U.S. senator and governor to county offices… -
Trump targets down-ballot Texas Democrats on eve of early votingPresident Donald Trump urged support for Texas Republicans on the eve of early voting — and trained his fire on some relatively unknown down-ballot Democrats, a sign of how competitive the midterms have become as voters head to the polls… - What Richardson residents need to know for early midterm votingRichardson residents can cast their midterm election ballots during early voting from Oct. 19-30. Registered voters can visit any polling location in their county during the early voting period. The Nov. 3 midterm election covers federal…
-
Ex-DOJ insider suggests feds went ‘rogue’ with Ilhan Omar raidA former top Justice Department spokeswoman raised the possibility Monday that federal agents went “rogue” in their search of Rep. Ilhan Omar’s home, and suggested they leaked the operation to Fox News. Xochitl Hinojosa, who led the…
Related markets
All house ›NC-13 House Election Winner
69%Brad Knott (R)
- Brad Knott (R)69%▼ 9
- Paul Barringer (D)31%▲ 10
MN-05 House winner?
94%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar94%
- John Nagel5%▲ 1
- DeVelle Jackson1%
TX-15 House winner? (2026)
82%Bobby Pulido
- Bobby Pulido82%▼ 6
- Monica De La Cruz18%▲ 6
NY-03 House winner? (2026)
90%Tom Suozzi
- Tom Suozzi90%▼ 2
- Mike LiPetri9%
NC-13 House winner?
69%Brad Knott
- Brad Knott69%▼ 9
- Paul Barringer31%▲ 10
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions