AL-01 House winner?
98%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl98%
- Clyde Jones2%
Install
HI-02 House winner?
The odds
95%Jill Tokuda
- Jill Tokuda95%▼ 2
- Brenton Awa5%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Jill Tokuda: 95% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jill Tokuda | 95% | ▼ 2 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 7.3K |
| Brenton Awa | 5% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | 33.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: HI- House, Jill Tokuda, Brenton Awa
Search ›- Press Release: Rep. Jill Tokuda Criticizes Rescission of UH Mānoa Pacific Studies FundingTokuda criticizes federal cuts to UH Mānoa Pacific studies and language programs, citing impacts on education and regional expertise. Tokuda criticizes funding rescission: Rep. Jill Tokuda said the Trump administration’s move to rescind…
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Hawaii incumbents face longshot challengers in Congressional racesTuesday, October 20, 2026 81° Today's Paper Today • Updated 9:30 a.m. STAR-ADVERTISER / JULY 8 GOP congressional candidate Adriel Lam hands out stickers to participants during a candidate fair at Lanakila Multi-Purpose Senior Center in… -
Hawaii primary races showed every vote counts in lackluster electionsHawaii could see a relatively ho-hum election on Nov. 3 with no presidential race at the top of the ballot, no major challengers for Gov. Josh Green or U.S. Rep. Ed Case, and a long-shot Republican bid against incumbent U.S. Rep. Jill… -
Hirono, Hawaiʻi delegation press Education Department over redirected minority-serving institution fundsUS Sen. Mazie Hirono and a group of congressional Democrats are asking the US Department of Education to restore federal money they say was improperly shifted away from minority-serving institutions, a category of colleges that includes… -
Hawaiʻi delegation questions shift to in-person immigration hearings that affect Maui residentsHawaiʻi’s congressional delegation is pressing the US Department of Justice to explain why the Honolulu Immigration Court has moved away from video appearances. The lawmakers say the change requires Maui residents facing deportation to fly… -
Asian American caucus blames Trump administration for anti-South AsianhateAmrik Singh Oct 16, 2026 0 26 Y.S.Rana Oct 16, 2026 0 17 Arvind Sharma Oct 14, 2026 0 27 IANS Oct 12, 2026 0 25 Punjab News Express Oct 11, 2026 0 27 IANS Oct 10, 2026 0 20 IANS Oct 6, 2026 0 26 Amrik Singh Oct 15, 2026 0 15 Punjab News… -
McCaul, Costa, Colleagues Urge "Full and Faithful" Implementation of Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran ActHouse Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Emeritus Michael McCaul (R-Texas) joined Congressman Jim Costa (D-Calif.) and 20 bipartisan colleagues in sending a letter to President Trump urging "full and faithful" implementation of the Lindsey… -
Asian American caucus blames Trump administration for fuelling anti-South Asian hateThe statement followed a foiled plot targeting a Hindu temple in Aurora, Illinois; the FBI announced the arrest of a 19-year-old suspect Democrats and Republicans condemned the plot and called for stronger protection of communities and… -
Rep. Tokuda condemns rescission of Pacific Studies and Language funding at UH MānoaPC: Office of US Rep. Jill Tokuda UH Mānoa applied for $2.8 million in grants that would have supported the Center for Pacific Islands Studies (CPIS) and the Center for Southeast Asian Studies (CSEAS) within the College of Arts, Languages… -
Rep. Costa Leads Bipartisan Push for Full Implementation of Graham Russia Sanctions Law2081 Rayburn House Office Building Washington, DC 20515 Email Me (202) 225-3341 “As Russia prepares to wage a fifth winter campaign against Ukraine, the United States has an opportunity to reinvigorate peace efforts by placing maximum… -
Congress members move to offset coming cuts to rural hospital fundingWhen the “One Big Beautiful Bill” passed in July 2025, officials warned some of the cuts within the bill could devastate rural hospitals. Those cuts are set to hit after the midterm election this fall, and some members of Congress are…
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All house ›AL-02 House winner?
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AL-03 House winner?
99%Mike Rogers
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AL-04 House winner?
99%Robert Aderholt
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AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
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AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions