Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
Install
MO-05 House winner? (2026)
The odds
96%Emanuel Cleaver
- Emanuel Cleaver96%
- Rick Brattin4%
How the odds have moved
Emanuel Cleaver: 96% on Oct 20, 96% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Cleaver | 96% | 96¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 62.1K | |
| Rick Brattin | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 104.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: MO- House, Emanuel Cleaver, Rick Brattin
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Flood recognized for bipartisan housing effortsCongressman Mike Flood (left) is presented with an award from the Nebraska State Home Builders Association on Friday at the Norfolk Chamber of Commerce. Greg Geis, president of the association, said Flood received the Defender of Housing… - Fundraising Update: Representative Emanuel Cleaver just disclosed $344.8K of new fundraisingRepresentative Emanuel Cleaver just disclosed $344.8K of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 16th, 2026. This is the 367th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 58.5% came from individual…
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Missouri AFL-CIO recommends NO Vote on Proposition AThe Missouri AFL-CIO is recommending a NO vote on Proposition A, which asks voters whether to uphold or reject the mid-decade congressional redistricting map pushed through by the Republican-led legislature in 2025. Last year, under… -
Black Caucus Financial Services members back Maxine Waters as panel's top Democrat - Live Updates - POLITICOWaters’ allies are also discussing other letters of support, including potentially one from a broader group of House Financial Services members. Seven members of the Congressional Black Caucus serving on the House Financial Services… -
Missouri groups make final push to sway voters on Amendment 3Millions of dollars are pouring into the fight over abortion rights as Missouri voters prepare to decide the fate of Amendment 3 for a second time in two years. Her Health, Her Future hosted its “Say Yes on 3” rally at Concord Baptist… -
Democrats Turn On Maxine Waters As Fight For Powerful Committee Post Erupts – 100PercentFedUp.com – by JackThe Democrat Party’s long-running argument over age and power has landed directly on Rep. Maxine Waters’ doorstep. Rep. Sean Casten of Illinois has told Waters he plans to challenge her for the top Democratic position on the powerful House… -
‘Pointless task at hand.’ How shifting maps changed the race for Missouri’s 5th DistrictMissouri Sen. Rick Brattin appeared to be on a clear path to Congress after securing the Republican nomination in a ruby-red congressional district lawmakers redrew to gain one Republican seat in the U.S. House. Now, Brattin’s path to… -
Waters rallies support as rivals circleYour first read on Capitol Hill politics and policy. You will now start receiving email updates You are already subscribed By KATHERINE HAPGOOD, RILEY ROGERSON, JASPER GOODMAN and CALEN RAZOR 10/15/2026 04:50 AM EDT IN TODAY’S EDITION:—… - Capitol agenda: Waters rallies support as rivals circle - Live Updates - POLITICOTop Financial Services Democrat Maxine Waters and her team have been making calls this week to recruit members to whip for her against potential challengers. The race to be the top House Financial Services Democrat could shape up to be a…
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Maxine Waters Fights Generational Challenge for House Financial Services Leadershipstreamlinefeed.co.ke Representative Maxine Waters is fighting to retain her position as the top Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, facing a generational challenge from younger lawmakers amid a broader push for caucus… -
Columbia Public Library waiting for response after sending officials Rainbow Story Time recordsThe Columbia Public Library sent state Sen. Rick Brattin an 86-page packet of records about its Rainbow Story Time event on Sept. 16, in response to a request under Missouri’s Sunshine Law. Nearly a month later, the library says it has not…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions