Hawaii’s total visitor arrivals in 2027
9.74median
9.2010.4
Median 9.74Middle half 9.53 – 9.94
Install
Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
The odds
9.68median
9.2010.4
Median 9.68Middle half 9.57 – 9.77
How the odds have moved
Median: 9.68 on Oct 20, 9.68 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 9.4 million | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 98.00 | |
| Above 9.6 million | 72% | 71¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 17.2K | |
| Above 9.8 million | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 6.3K | |
| Above 10.0 million | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.2K | |
| Above 10.2 million | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 15.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Hawaii
Search ›- Hawaii Beat: Hawaii Hilo wins; Chaminade, HPU fallAlohi Garcia had 18 kills and 23 digs, and Logan Blutreich added 16 kills as the Hawaii Hilo women's volleyball team beat Dominican 25-17, 25-15, 24-26, 25-16 on Friday in San Rafael, Calif. Chase Koepke added 14 kills and Anolani Santos…
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Hawaii routs Northern Illinois 56-21 after record road tripThe Rainbow Warriors (2-6, 1-4 Mountain West) traveled 4,255 miles from Honolulu to Dekalb, marking the farthest any FBS team has ever traveled for a conference game within the United States. Hawaii previously made regular trips of 4,039… - Hawaii snaps losing streak in blasting Northern IllinoisDEKALB, Ill. — The University of Hawaii football team broke out of an offensive slump to break away to a 56-21 victory over winless Northern Illinois. By compiling their most productive game of the season, the Rainbow Warriors ended a…
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First Hawaiian, Inc. (FHB) – What Are Analysts Thinking About This Stock?Posted by Defense World Staff on Oct 25th, 2026 Check Out Our Latest Stock Report on FHB The company also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, November 27th. Shareholders of record on Monday, November 16th… -
Hawaii Foodbank distributing free emergency meals Sunday in HonoluluHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Hawaiʻi Foodbank will distribute free shelf-stable disaster response meal packs, known as survivor daily rations. Distribution takes place from 8 a.m. to 10:30 a.m. Sunday at Hawaiʻi Foodbank’s warehouse located… -
Hawaii Career Expo to feature over 100 top employersSunday, October 25, 2026 74° Today's Paper The Hawaii Career Expo returns to the Neal Blaisdell Center Exhibition Hall Wednesday, bringing together Hawaii employers and job-seekers. People are seen during the January 2026 Star-Advertiser… -
Hawaii youth share climate solutions with lawmakers at summitHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - Keiki, teens and young adults gathered Saturday at the Capitol Rotunda for the Youth Climate Summit. The summit was hosted by the Hawaii State Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Commission and the Climate… -
Wild moment underage girls batter group of kids after being baited at exclusive Hawaii vacation resortA pack of boys allegedly pulled the strings in a savage Maui shopping-center beatdown, using two girls as young as 12 and 13 to do the dirty work while they kept would-be rescuers at bay, a victim’s mother claims. The shocking scene played… -
The Gravestone I Saw in Hawaii That Was Facing JapanWhen I traveled to Hawaii, there was a scene I still cannot forget.I visited a town where people of Japanese descent had lived, and after driving for a while from there, I found a cemetery.The ocean stretched out before me.However, the… -
Tigers Conclude Fall Schedule in HawaiiCLEMSON, S.C. — Clemson will conclude its fall men’s golf schedule October 26-28 at the Ka’anapali Classic in Ka’anapali, Hawaii. The 26th ranked Tigers are one of 20 teams in the field that includes seven of the top 40 teams in the… -
UH Manoa lands $4.4M to help Hawaii Island students reach collegeHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - The University of Hawaii at Manoa secured nearly 4.4 million dollars in federal funding. The funds will go toward supporting Hawaii Island keiki and their journey to higher ... HONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - The… -
Hawaiian Home Lands awards leases to 24 families in West OahuHONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) - The Department of Hawaiian Home Lands awarded leases for 24 families in West Oahu Saturday. A total of 16 were awarded throughout Kapolei and eight in Waianae. The department said the houses on the new lots will…
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All jobs ›Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
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US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
563,415median
250,000650,000
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4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
7%5.0%
4.5%13%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k10%▲ 7
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 2
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions