Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Jan 1, 2030 · $488 today · $21.9K traded · $10K at stake · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

60%Pepas
  • Pepas60%▼ 10
  • Bad and Boujee55%▲ 24
  • Blinding Lights27%▲ 1
  • Sicko Mode24%▼ 1
  • Stay23%
  • Mask Off23%▼ 8
  • God’s Plan18%▲ 1
  • Mo Bamba15%
  • As It Was13%▲ 1
  • Despacito12%
  • Look at Me!12%▼ 1
  • Rockstar9%▲ 1
2 more
  • XO Tour Llif38%▼ 1
  • Shape of You8%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Pepas: 56% on Oct 20, 60% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 11 PM ETPepas: 71% → 59%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 23, 9 PM ETPepas: 71% → 76%
  3. Oct 20, 9 PM ETPepas: 56% → 62%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Pepas 60% ▼ 10 59¢ 60¢ $1.67 10.2K
Bad and Boujee 55% ▲ 24 36¢ 53¢ $1.89 7.8K
Blinding Lights 27% ▲ 1 25¢ 28¢ $3.57 11.5K
Sicko Mode 24% ▼ 1 22¢ 26¢ $3.85 11.5K
Stay 23% 17¢ 29¢ $3.45 2.4K
Mask Off 23% ▼ 8 21¢ 25¢ $4.00 6.3K
God’s Plan 18% ▲ 1 16¢ 20¢ $5.00 3.6K
Mo Bamba 15% 13¢ 17¢ $5.88 3.4K
As It Was 13% ▲ 1 11¢ 14¢ $7.14 3.6K
Despacito 12% 10¢ 13¢ $7.69 6.7K
Look at Me! 12% ▼ 1 9¢ 14¢ $7.14 4.7K
Rockstar 9% ▲ 1 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 5.2K
XO Tour Llif3 8% ▼ 1 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 2.2K
Shape of You 8% ▲ 1 4¢ 11¢ $9.09 2.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: GTA 6, Grand Theft Auto, Grand Theft Auto VI

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KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $7.2K today

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KalshiCloses Dec 30 · $3.5K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions