Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%▼ 1
Install
Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote? (Nov 6, 2026)
The odds
32.29%median
24%48%
Median 32.29%Middle half 29.06% – 40.15%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 26% | 91% | ▲ 1 | 86¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | |
| Above 28% | 84% | ▲ 2 | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | |
| Above 30% | 67% | ▲ 3 | 62¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | |
| Above 32% | 51% | ▲ 4 | 46¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | |
| Above 34% | 44% | ▲ 4 | 39¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | |
| Above 36% | 38% | ▲ 5 | 33¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | |
| Above 38% | 31% | ▲ 5 | 26¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | |
| Above 40% | 26% | ▲ 7 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 363 |
| Above 42% | 19% | ▲ 5 | 14¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | |
| Above 44% | 12% | ▲ 3 | 7¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| Above 46% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Midterms, Latino
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.