California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? (2026)
KalshiElections › SenateCloses Nov 3, 2027 · $196 today · $10K traded · $4.5K at stake · prices read 3 h ago
The odds
62%Fresno
Fresno62%▼ 9
Riverside48%▲ 16
Orange45%▲ 1
San Bernardino38%▲ 1
San Joaquin34%
San Luis Obispo11%
How the odds have moved
Fresno: 68% on Oct 20, 62% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 25, 6 PM ETFresno: 70% → 62%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Fresno
62%
▼ 9
61¢
62¢
$1.61
5.2K
Riverside
48%
▲ 16
43¢
53¢
$1.89
3.4K
Orange
45%
▲ 1
40¢
49¢
$2.04
5.7K
San Bernardino
38%
▲ 1
34¢
42¢
$2.38
4.8K
San Joaquin
34%
34¢
45¢
$2.22
2.5K
San Luis Obispo
11%
3¢
15¢
$6.67
104
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor's racecnn.com · 43 h agoRepublican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton discusses his campaign in the final days before the midterm elections. Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor’s race Republican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton…
Steve Hilton unveils his vision for California bullet trainCalifornia Post · 3 h agoCalifornia gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is pitching a dramatic end to the state’s troubled high-speed rail project — imagining a future where the multibillion-dollar undertaking is transformed into a monument to government failure…
Watch Steve Hilton's Latest Campaign Ad Masterpiece: Monument of Government Failuresredstate.com · 2 h agoBut the best part has to be Hilton's proposed solution for the disaster that is the California high speed railway: Closing down the project and labeling it the "Government Failures National Monument." That, right there, is great stuff…
Steve Hilton discusses polls, ICE detentions in FOX26 exclusiveKMPH · 3 days agoFRESNO, Calif. (FOX26) — With less than two weeks until Election Day, Republican candidate for California governor Steve Hilton is pushing back against polling showing him trailing Democrat Xavier Becerra. Hilton sat down with FOX26's…
New poll shows gap stretching in California governor race — with just two weeks to goCalifornia Post · 4 days agoXavier Becerra has stretched his lead over Steve Hilton in the California governor’s race, according to a new poll. The Emerson College survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted Oct. 17-19, shows the Democrat at 60% support compared to 33%…
Steve Hilton makes his pitch to replace Gavin Newsom as California's governorKTVU FOX 2 San Francisco · 5 days agoKTVU Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra go head to head in the California governor's race to replace Gavin Newsom. Hilton sat down for an interview to talk about how he plans to help Californians save money.
Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessnessABC7 San Francisco · 4 days agoSAN FRANCISCO (KGO) -- Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is making an ambitious promise to California voters on one of the states most visible issues. Within his first year in office, Hilton says he can effectively end mass…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions