UK Nominal GDP in 2026
$4.25median
$3.30$4.60
Median $4.25Middle half $4.14 – $4.33
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US Nominal GDP in 2026
The odds
$32.67median
$28.80$33.20
Median $32.67Middle half $32.38 – $32.79
How the odds have moved
Median: $32.59 on Oct 20, $32.67 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $29.0 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 466 | ||
| Above $29.2 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 532 | ||
| Above $29.4 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 486 | ||
| Above $29.6 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 498 | ||
| Above $29.8 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 880 | ||
| Above $30.0 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 824 | ||
| Above $30.2 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 655 | ||
| Above $30.4 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 1.2K | ||
| Above $30.6 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 5.2K | ||
| Above $30.8 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | 4.7K | ||
| Above $31.0 trillion | 98% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.6K | |
| Above $31.2 trillion | 98% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 786 | |
| Above $31.4 trillion | 98% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 4.6K | ||
| Above $31.6 trillion | 98% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | $1.03 | 4.6K | |
| Above $31.8 trillion | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 419 | |
| Above $32.0 trillion | 96% | 94¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 6.0K | |
| Above $32.2 trillion | 87% | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 2.2K | |
| Above $32.4 trillion | 74% | 70¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 708 | |
| Above $32.6 trillion | 63% | 58¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 917 | |
| Above $32.8 trillion | 23% | 18¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 721 | |
| Above $33.0 trillion | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 634 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: GDP, economic growth, Nominal GDP
Search ›-
China's third-quarter economic growth quickens to 4.5% as exports surge, beating estimatesChina's economic growth accelerated to 4.5% in the third quarter from a year earlier, as foreign demand for the country's technological goods largely offset a deepening property slump and sluggish consumer demand. -
Roaring exports lift China’s economic growth; violent French protests put pressure on euro, stocks and bonds – business liveWorld’s second-largest economy on track to meet Beijing’s 2026 growth target, though consumer spending lags behind factory output Here’s our full story: France was hit by a fresh wave of selling in its bond and stock markets on Monday… -
Rep. McCormick highlights economic growth in GeorgiaJust The News Rep. McCormick highlights economic growth in Georgia "If you want to see where minorities are succeeding the most, look no further than conservative areas." Rep. McCormick shreds Democratic governance in blue states, urging… -
Morocco Targets Five Percent Economic Growth by 2031Morocco’s new government has set a target of five per cent average annual economic growth between 2027 and 2031, while pledging to keep the fiscal deficit below three per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Prime Minister Fatima Ezzahra… -
AI applications expand, fueling China's economic growthBEIJING, Oct. 20, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- This is a report from China SCIO Artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming a new driver of China's economic growth, transforming manufacturing and supporting modern services while boosting consumption… -
Kennedy discusses Acadiana’s economic growth with Oil Center Association, One AcadianaOctober 20, 2026 | Fighting for Jobs in Louisiana, Press Releases MADISONVILLE, La. – Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.), a member of the Senate Appropriations Committee, today spoke with members of the Oil Center Association and One Acadiana about… -
Expanding tax net is inevitable for economic growth: MinisterFederal Minister for Finance and Revenue Senator Mohammad Aurangzeb on Tuesday said that expanding the tax net is inevitable for economic growth, reported 24NewsHD TV channel. Addressing a workshop on tax system reforms organized by the… -
FDI inflows boost Vietnam’s economic growthForeign direct investment (FDI) inflows into Vietnam are reaching new highs, both in registered and disbursed capital, expanding production capacity and providing fresh momentum for economic growth. FDI inflows boost Vietnam’s economic… -
India-UAE Partnership Thrives: Jaishankar Highlights Economic Growth, Leadership EngagementMumbai, October 20 – External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar affirmed on Tuesday that the relationship between India and the ... - Latest News. Find Breaking Headlines, Current and Latest international news at Lokmattimes.com Mumbai… -
Braun highlights economic growth in southern IndianaBLOOMINGTON, Ind.— Indiana Gov. Mike Braun pointed to new businesses, company expansions and workforce development efforts as signs of economic growth in southern Indiana during a Bloomington event Monday. Braun spoke to hundreds of… -
Uzbekistan and World Bank discuss economic growth strategy for next ten yearsUzbekistan and the World Bank have discussed a new economic growth strategy for the country, with job creation identified as a key priority, during talks in Bangkok between Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Economy and Finance Jamshid… -
China’s economic growth picks up but consumers prefer to save not spendChina’s unexpectedly strong third-quarter economic growth suggests that Beijing is on course to meet its 2026 target for the economy to grow by 4.5-5 per cent. But although this figure is enviable for other major economies, it is…
Related markets
All growth & recession ›Australia Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.13median
$1.50$2.80
Median $2.13Middle half $2.04 – $2.21
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.63median
$2$3.30
Median $2.63Middle half $2.49 – $2.73
Canada Nominal GDP in 2026
$2.49median
$2$3.30
Median $2.49Middle half $2.37 – $2.61
China Nominal GDP in 2026
$21.39median
$19$22.40
Median $21.39Middle half $21.14 – $21.82
France Nominal GDP in 2026
$3.59median
$3.10$4.60
Median $3.59Middle half $3.46 – $3.76
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions