Mexico Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers (Mexico Grand Prix 2026)

Kalshi Sports › F1 & racing Closes Nov 8 · $910 today · $2.2K traded · $2.1K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

71%Max Verstappen

Max Verstappen71%▲ 8
Andrea Kimi Antonelli67%▲ 1
Charles Leclerc46%▲ 5
Lewis Hamilton42%▲ 1
George Russell35%▼ 3
Lando Norris31%▲ 1
Isack Hadjar18%▲ 6
Oscar Piastri12%▼ 1
Carlos Sainz Jr.2%
Esteban Ocon2%
Pierre Gasly2%
Alexander Albon2%

10 more

Liam Lawson2%
Oliver Bearman2%
Arvid Lindblad2%
Nico Hulkenberg1%
Fernando Alonso1%
Lance Stroll1%
Franco Colapinto1%
Gabriel Bortoleto1%
Valtteri Bottas1%
Sergio Perez1%

How the odds have moved

Max Verstappen: 95% on Oct 26, 71% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Max Verstappen	71%	▲ 8	68¢	74¢	$1.35	479
Andrea Kimi Antonelli	67%	▲ 1	65¢	68¢	$1.47	1.2K
Charles Leclerc	46%	▲ 5	44¢	47¢	$2.13	1.3K
Lewis Hamilton	42%	▲ 1	38¢	45¢	$2.22	128
George Russell	35%	▼ 3	33¢	37¢	$2.70	227
Lando Norris	31%	▲ 1	27¢	34¢	$2.94	141
Isack Hadjar	18%	▲ 6	6¢	17¢	$5.88	27.00
Oscar Piastri	12%	▼ 1	8¢	16¢	$6.25	2.2K
Carlos Sainz Jr.	2%			3¢	$33.33
Esteban Ocon	2%			3¢	$33.33
Pierre Gasly	2%			3¢	$33.33
Alexander Albon	2%			3¢	$33.33
Liam Lawson	2%			3¢	$33.33
Oliver Bearman	2%			3¢	$33.33
Arvid Lindblad	2%			3¢	$33.33
Nico Hulkenberg	1%			2¢	$50.00
Fernando Alonso	1%			2¢	$50.00
Lance Stroll	1%			2¢	$50.00	1.00
Franco Colapinto	1%			2¢	$50.00
Gabriel Bortoleto	1%			2¢	$50.00
Valtteri Bottas	1%			1¢	$100.00	1.00
Sergio Perez	1%			1¢	$100.00	5.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Formula 1, Grand Prix, Podium Finishers Mexico Grand Prix

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFIA

Trading closesNov 8, 2026 9:00 PM ET

Traded$2.2K (5,765 contracts)

Today$910

This week$2.2K

At stake$2.1K

In the news2 headlines today, 36 this week

Followed here sinceOct 25, 2026

The rules

If Lewis Hamilton finishes in the top 3 (podium finish) in the main race originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at the 2026 Mexico Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions

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