Mexico Grand Prix Main Race: Biggest Mover (Mexico Grand Prix (2026))

Kalshi Sports › F1 & racing Closes Nov 8 · $192 today · $192 traded · $192 at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

93%Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Andrea Kimi Antonelli93%▲ 88
Oscar Piastri16%
Lewis Hamilton11%▲ 3
Max Verstappen10%
Valtteri Bottas5%
Sergio Perez5%
Carlos Sainz Jr.5%
Fernando Alonso5%
Esteban Ocon5%
Lance Stroll5%
Alexander Albon5%

How the odds have moved

Andrea Kimi Antonelli: 93% on Oct 27, 93% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Andrea Kimi Antonelli	93%	▲ 88	5¢	22¢	$4.55	205
Oscar Piastri	16%		2¢	15¢	$6.67	6.00
Lewis Hamilton	11%	▲ 3	10¢	12¢	$8.33
Max Verstappen	10%		5¢	14¢	$7.14
Valtteri Bottas	5%			10¢	$10.00
Sergio Perez	5%			10¢	$10.00
Carlos Sainz Jr.	5%			10¢	$10.00
Fernando Alonso	5%			10¢	$10.00
Esteban Ocon	5%			10¢	$10.00
Lance Stroll	5%			10¢	$10.00
Alexander Albon	5%			10¢	$10.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Formula 1, Grand Prix, Biggest Mover Mexico Grand Prix

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFIA

Trading closesNov 8, 2026 3:00 PM ET

Traded$192 (211 contracts)

Today$192

This week$192

At stake$192

In the news2 headlines today, 45 this week

Followed here sinceOct 25, 2026

The rules

If Lewis Hamilton has the largest positive differential between their starting grid position and their finishing position in the main race originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at the 2026 Mexico Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions

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