F1 Action of the Year Award Winner (2026)

Kalshi Sports › F1 & racing Closes Jan 14, 2027 · $106 today · $6.7K traded · $3.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

47%Max Verstappen

Max Verstappen47%▲ 1
Andrea Kimi Antonelli27%▲ 2
Lewis Hamilton6%▼ 1
Charles Leclerc3%▼ 3
Lando Norris3%▼ 1
Oscar Piastri3%▼ 1
Fernando Alonso2%▼ 1
George Russell2%▼ 2
Isack Hadjar2%▼ 1
Oliver Bearman2%▼ 1
Arvid Lindblad2%
Tie/Co-Winners2%▼ 1

11 more

Nico Hulkenberg1%
Esteban Ocon1%
Liam Lawson1%
Franco Colapinto1%
Lance Stroll1%
Alexander Albon1%
Valtteri Bottas1%
Gabriel Bortoleto1%
Pierre Gasly1%
Sergio Perez1%
Carlos Sainz<1%

How the odds have moved

Max Verstappen: 48% on Oct 20, 47% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Max Verstappen	47%	▲ 1	47¢	53¢	$1.89	5.4K
Andrea Kimi Antonelli	27%	▲ 2	27¢	29¢	$3.45	13.1K
Lewis Hamilton	6%	▼ 1	4¢	10¢	$10.00	2.4K
Charles Leclerc	3%	▼ 3		7¢	$14.29	774
Lando Norris	3%	▼ 1	1¢	6¢	$16.67	978
Oscar Piastri	3%	▼ 1	1¢	6¢	$16.67	242
Fernando Alonso	2%	▼ 1		5¢	$20.00	132
George Russell	2%	▼ 2		5¢	$20.00	1.2K
Isack Hadjar	2%	▼ 1		4¢	$25.00	242
Oliver Bearman	2%	▼ 1		4¢	$25.00	148
Arvid Lindblad	2%			4¢	$25.00	660
Tie/Co-Winners	2%	▼ 1		4¢	$25.00	217
Nico Hulkenberg	1%			2¢	$50.00	350
Esteban Ocon	1%			2¢	$50.00	100
Liam Lawson	1%			2¢	$50.00	100
Franco Colapinto	1%			2¢	$50.00	448
Lance Stroll	1%			2¢	$50.00	100
Alexander Albon	1%			2¢	$50.00	100
Valtteri Bottas	1%			2¢	$50.00	100
Gabriel Bortoleto	1%			2¢	$50.00	100
Pierre Gasly	1%			2¢	$50.00	100
Sergio Perez	1%			2¢	$50.00	100
Carlos Sainz	<1%			1¢	$100.00	189

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Formula 1, Grand Prix, F1 Action

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Qatar Grand Prix organisers in final preparations at Lusail Circuit for Formula 1 race despite threat of wargrandprix247.com · 6 days agograndprix247 Qatar Grand Prix organisers in final preparations at Lusail Circuit for Formula 1 race despite threat of war Lusail International Circuit is committed and completing preparations for the Qatar Grand Prix on 27-29 November…
Max Verstappen aims to conquer all iconic 24-hour races alongside Formula 1M Sports · 6 days agoMax Verstappen Sets Sights on Endurance Racing: The 24-Hour Challenge Beyond Formula 1 The Nürburgring’s brutal Nordschleife circuit offers a stark contrast to the sanitized layouts typical in F1. Its blind corners, fluctuating pace, and…
Rwanda’s Formula 1 Grand Prix Faces Cost, Human Rights Scrutiny263Chat · 6 days agoRwanda’s plan to bring Formula 1 racing back to Africa is facing growing scrutiny over the cost of hosting the global motorsport championship, its potential economic benefits and concerns about the country’s human rights record. The…
Formula 1 to Restore Longer Grand Prix Races in 2028 After One-Year CutRus Tourism News · 6 days agoFormula 1 is preparing to restore its traditional 305-kilometer Grand Prix race distance in 2028, reversing a planned reduction that is expected to make most races shorter during the 2027 season. The return to longer races is outlined in…
MGM RESORTS SPRINTS TO RACE WEEK WITH HIGH-OCTANE FAN EXPERIENCES FOR FORMULA 1® HEINEKEN LAS VEGAS GRAND PRIX 2026, NOVEMBER 19-21MGM Resorts Investor Relations · 6 days agoIR News & Events MGM Zone, Curated Culinary Experiences and Inspired Fashion and Art Pop-Ups Accelerate the Action on The Strip LAS VEGAS, Oct. 21, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- MGM Resorts International is shifting into high gear for year four of…
F1 2026: The Symbols Behind Cadillac's New Livery for the US Grand PrixYahoo Sports · 6 days agoCadillac hasn't scored yet in their debut season in F1. But in terms of aesthetics for the next race? They might have earned a point or two. Cadillac Formula 1 Team is introducing a new, Texas-themed livery for their home race in the 2026…
Formula 1 United States Grand Prix online coverage starts on October 25 — Interia SportUA.NEWS · 7 days agoUA.NEWS Formula 1 United States Grand Prix online coverage starts on October 25 — Interia Sport Interia Sport has announced live text coverage of the Formula 1 United States Grand Prix, which will begin on Sunday, October 25, 2026, at…
Who is Max Verstappen’s new race engineer Tom Hart? All to know on Gianpiero Lambiase’s replacementYardbarker · 6 days agoTom Hart will replace Gianpiero Lambiase as Max Verstappen’s race engineer at Red Bull in 2027, and he will also now step up in Texas, Brazil and Las Vegas to end 2026. The historic partnership between Verstappen and Lambiase is due to…
Formula 1 News: The consensus is almost unanimous – Verstappen is the greatestAutoRacing1.com · 6 days agoWe assembled a list of quotes on how Red Bull Formula 1 driver Max Verstappen (pictured) ranks with the all-time greats in motorsports. These quotes are all out there; just Google them, and there’s so many more. Verstappen’s 19 wins in…
MotoGP set for high-speed showcase at the Formula 1 United States Grand Prix 2026The Official Home of MotoGP · 7 days agoTwo wheels meet four at one of the world’s greatest racetracks in Austin, Texas MotoGP will bring the world's fastest motorcycles to the FORMULA 1 MSC CRUISES UNITED STATES GRAND PRIX 2026 at Circuit of The Americas (COTA), with four…
Formula 1 star Perez considers early retirement amid Cadillac projectThe Manila Times · 6 days agoMEXICO CITY — Sergio “Checo” Perez has been back in Formula 1 for less than a season and is already contemplating retirement. The Mexican driver said Tuesday that bringing Cadillac into a leading role in the sport’s top tier will take…
Previewing the F1 U.S. Grand Prix in Austin: How to watch, schedule, predictionsNBC 5 Dallas-Fort Worth · 6 days agoSure all major racing circuits have cars that are extremely fast. But do you know the difference between INDYCAR, F1 and NASCAR? Formula One is returning to Texas this weekend. The annual United States Grand Prix is the second of three…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFIA

Trading closesJan 14, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$6.7K (27,269 contracts)

Today$106

This week$1.3K

At stake$3.5K

In the news2 headlines today, 43 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Andrea Kimi Antonelli wins the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions

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