Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
M&A / Acquisition
91%
▲ 1
89¢
93¢
$1.08
6.5K
Bundle / Bundling
82%
▼ 11
77¢
87¢
$1.15
105
AI / Artificial Intelligence
80%
75¢
84¢
$1.19
12.00
Inflation
76%
▲ 13
71¢
81¢
$1.23
5.00
Catastrophe
64%
▼ 13
62¢
65¢
$1.54
268
Snapshot
61%
▼ 1
57¢
64¢
$1.56
110
Homeowner
59%
▼ 7
55¢
62¢
$1.61
207
Reinsurance
46%
▼ 8
41¢
50¢
$2.00
60.00
Buyback / Buy Back
17%
▲ 3
16¢
17¢
$5.88
26.00
Open the House
7%
▼ 1
4¢
10¢
$10.00
Hippo
5%
1¢
8¢
$12.50
Rosella
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
1.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Obama endorses progressive insurgent Angie Nixon for Senate in FloridaPOLITICO · 2 days agoObama was the last Democratic presidential candidate to win Florida, which has become more Republican since Trump’s ascendance. 10/24/2026 12:10 PM EDT CLEARWATER, Florida — Former President Barack Obama released a one-minute video on…
Progressive Oregonians: Vote for KotekDaily Kos · 26 h agoOregonians are not fools or we would not have maintained our status as a solidly blue state for the past four decades. The opinion polls do not reflect that reality because we know the only thing that truly matters is what you mark down on…
Progressive Nature of COPD@AJMC_Journal · 3 days agoNeil B. Minkoff, MD: The question I was going to ask is: Define the impact on patients’ lives, which I think you’ve all done to a great extent. How bad does it get? How withdrawn do these patients get? How immobile do these patients get…
AOC grabs In-N-Out after stumping for Central Valley progressiveSFGATE · 25 h agoThe Delano In-N-Out is seen on Dec. 18, 2025. With just over a week to go until the midterm elections, the national political spotlight has descended on Central Valley as it plays host to a key battleground congressional race that may…
‘Changing Dictionaries’ Isn’t Working: James Carville Torches Progressive MessagingTampa Free Press · 29 h agoVeteran Democratic strategist James Carville took aim at the progressive movement’s political rhetoric and messaging strategy during an episode of his “Politics War Room” podcast, arguing that modern left-wing communication is alienating…
Fury after Trump hurls insults at progressive during rally speech: 'Pure racism'Raw Story · 25 h agoUS President Donald Trump delivers remarks during a rally, to support Republican US Senate candidate, former US Representative Mike Rogers, ahead of the midterm elections, at an entertainment complex in Port Huron, Michigan, US, October…
Jaelynn Scott wants WA to ‘raise more progressive revenue sooner’KNKX Public Radio · 2 days agoHear the full interview by clicking "Listen" above. Jaelynn Scott is poised to become Washington state’s first openly transgender lawmaker. Scott is running a Democratic Socialist for a Washington state House seat in the 37th District…
In Senate run, Juliana Stratton touts progressive politics and pragmatic recordFOX 32 Chicago · 2 days agoFOX Chicago’s Lauren Scafidi is 'Not Live' with Illinois Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton. In this personal conversation, Juliana reflects on her Far South Side upbringing, her four daughters and their hilarious family group chat, her…
WVU men's basketball: Huggins dealing with a 'progressive cognitive condition'Lincoln Journal · 3 days agoFormer West Virginia menâs basketball coach Bob Huggins has a âprogressive cognitive conditionâ beginning to affect âaspects of his daily life,â the University of Cincinnati said in a statement Wednesday. West Virginia head coach…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions