Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 23, 11 PM ETHeadwind: 82% → 92%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Headwind
95%
▲ 9
93¢
96¢
$1.04
1.3K
Dividend
87%
▼ 1
83¢
90¢
$1.11
60.00
De Minimis
84%
81¢
87¢
$1.15
4.00
Guidance
79%
76¢
82¢
$1.22
749
Tailwind
66%
70¢
81¢
$1.23
366
Tariff
65%
▲ 1
61¢
68¢
$1.47
158
Inventory
53%
▼ 2
49¢
57¢
$1.75
214
E-commerce / Ecommerce
51%
▼ 8
46¢
55¢
$1.82
456
China
37%
▼ 1
32¢
41¢
$2.44
45.00
Labor
27%
▼ 8
23¢
31¢
$3.23
371
Automation
26%
▼ 6
21¢
31¢
$3.23
368
EV / Electric Vehicle
15%
▼ 3
12¢
18¢
$5.56
247
ServiceNow
7%
▼ 7
3¢
11¢
$9.09
159
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Understanding "De Minimis" Thresholds: A Guide to Duty-Free ImportsDHL · 6 days agoCross-border shipping can often present challenges when customers are faced with unexpected taxes. These unforeseen costs can lead to high return rates and may damage your brand's reputation. This guide explains how to navigate the…
FedEx appoints Jamere Jackson as CFOSeeking Alpha · 24 h agoeffective Nov. 30, succeeding interim finance chief Claude Russ. - FedEx (FDX) on Monday announced the appointment of Jamere Jackson as chief financial officer, effective Nov. 30. - Jackson succeeds Claude Russ, who has served as interim…
Tehama directors vote to exempt ‘de minimis’ usersRed Bluff Daily News · 7 days agoRed Bluff Daily News Video: ICE vehicle appears to strike pedestrian, Woodland police investigating Tehama directors vote to exempt ‘de minimis’ users 6th beluga whale rescued from Canada dies at SeaWorld San Diego Fisherman killed by…
FedEx taps AutoZone executive to be finance chiefFreightWaves · 22 h agoFedEx Corp. announced Monday the appointment of AutoZone executive Jamere Jackson as chief financial officer, effective Nov. 30. He succeeds Claude Russ, who has served as interim CFO since June 1 after the departure of John Dietrich…
FedEx names Jamere Jackson as next CFOTransport Topics · 20 h agoFedEx Corp. named Jamere Jackson its next chief financial officer, effective Nov. 30, succeeding interim CFO Claude Russ. Jackson has been AutoZone’s CFO since January 2021, with responsibility for finance and store development. He also…
FedEx appoints Jamere Jackson as CFO from November 30The STAT Trade Times · 22 h agoFedEx has appointed Jamere Jackson as its chief financial officer, effective 30 November. He will succeed Claude Russ, who has served as interim CFO since 1 June. Jackson brings extensive financial and operational experience from several…
FedEx names new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officerlocalmemphis.com · 22 h agoJamere Jackson will start his new positions on Nov. 30. FedEx names new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer MEMPHIS, Tenn — FedEx names new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. FedEx named Jamere Jackson…
FedEx's CFO hiring could spark more cash returns to shareholdersSeeking Alpha · 37 h agoJoin the community built by investors, for investors. Create your free account » The firm sees ~$16B of capital that can be returned to shareholders over the next few years with an accelerated stock repurchase plan as a possible first…
UPS, FedEx earnings in focus as EPS estimates weaken, shares lagSeeking Alpha · 25 h agoUPS and FedEx earnings are due this week. Get key revenue, profit and outlook trends, plus what analysts expect from shipping demand and margins. 400tmax/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images United Parcel Service (UPS) and FedEx (FDX) are…
FedEx appoints Jamere Jackson as chief financial officerStevens Point · 24 h agoOct 26 (Reuters) – FedEx on Monday appointed Jamere Jackson as chief financial officer, effective November 30. Jackson will step down as CFO of AutoZone on November 25. “During Jamere’s six-year tenure at AutoZone, he was a key…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
