Diesel prices this week (October 26, 2026)

Kalshi Finance › Commodities Closes today 11:59 PM ET · $235 today · $34.5K traded · $12.2K at stake · prices read 61 min ago

The odds

$6.35median

$6.10$6.54

Median $6.35Middle half $6.35 – $6.36

How the odds have moved

Median: $6.37 on Oct 19, $6.35 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above $6.12	98%		95¢		$1.02	262
Above $6.14	98%		95¢		$1.02	200
Above $6.16	98%		95¢		$1.02	204
Above $6.18	98%		95¢		$1.02	201
Above $6.20	98%		95¢		$1.02	499
Above $6.22	98%		95¢		$1.02	406
Above $6.24	98%		95¢		$1.02	4.8K
Above $6.26	98%		95¢		$1.02	5.6K
Above $6.28	98%		95¢		$1.02	2.7K
Above $6.30	98%		95¢		$1.02	5.9K
Above $6.32	98%		75¢		$1.02	7.9K
Above $6.34	98%	▲ 16	58¢		$1.02	4.6K
Above $6.36	28%	▲ 1	12¢	31¢	$3.23	4.1K
Above $6.38	15%			15¢	$6.67	3.8K
Above $6.40	3%	▲ 2		5¢	$20.00	855
Above $6.42	3%	▼ 1		5¢	$20.00	2.8K
Above $6.44	3%			5¢	$20.00	97.00
Above $6.46	3%			5¢	$20.00	12.00
Above $6.48	3%			5¢	$20.00	13.00
Above $6.50	3%			5¢	$20.00	15.00
Above $6.52	3%			5¢	$20.00	15.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Diesel

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Drought, fire and high diesel prices 'addin' up tough' for Oregon ranchersNPR · 5 h agoKatie Baltzor rides her side-by-side among the black angus cattle she raises near her home outside of Hines, Oregon. Anna King/NWPB hide caption HARNEY COUNTY, ORE. - Late bloomin' rabbitbrush – wads of swaying ochre – stud the roadsides…
Russian diesel tanker officially en route to USFox Business · 14 h agoRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' Russian diesel tanker officially en route to US Retired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold…
First Russian diesel tanker heads to New York after Trump's deal with Putin to lower fuel pricesFox Business · 11 h agoRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' The first tanker with 40,000 tons of diesel left for New York from Russia earlier…
Trump Diesel Relief Stalls as US Diesel Hits USD 6.28@analyticsinme · 16 h agoPresident Donald Trump's campaign to reduce diesel costs has yet to halt rising prices ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. US diesel rose nearly 10 cents last week to USD 6.28 a gallon, staying near record highs, according to the…
First tanker of Russian diesel sets sail for the US in Trump's controversial deal with PutinThe Washington Post · 32 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Kremlin says that…
What can be done to combat all-time-high diesel prices?CBS News · 31 h agoCurrent diesel prices are at an all-time high, impacting the transportation industry and the price you pay for many items. CBS News correspondent Marybel Gonzalez has what the country is doing to pump the brakes on rising costs. What can…
Which John Deere Tractors Use Yanmar Diesel Engines?SlashGear · 15 h agoJohn Deere's tractors are some of the most well-known in the market, but the brand does outsource some of its engines from brands like Yanmar. Which John Deere Tractors Use Yanmar Diesel Engines? John Deere manufactures some of the world's…
Petrol Price Unchanged, Diesel Goes Up AgainPakWheels Blog · 18 h agoThe government has announced new fuel prices for October 24, 2026, keeping the petrol price unchanged while increasing the price of high-speed diesel (HSD). According to the Petroleum Division, the revised prices will remain effective from…
40,000 MT of first Russian diesel shipment heads to US under Putin-Trump dealmyind.net · 5 h agoThe first Russian diesel shipment bound for the United States under a recent agreement between Moscow and US President Donald Trump is aboard a tanker heading to New York, per ship-tracking data on Friday. Trump announced the deal this…
Fuel Dealers Tell Motorists Not to Panic-Buy Petrol and DieselPakWheels Blog · 16 h agoPakistan’s petroleum dealers are asking motorists to avoid panic buying, saying the country’s petrol and diesel supplies remain under control despite rumours of possible shortages. Pakistan Petroleum Dealers Association Chairman Malik…
7 killed as diesel truck explodes during fuel transfer in Andhra PradeshHindustan Times · 7 h agoA 44-year-old government school teacher and two migrant workers were among seven people killed after a pickup truck laden with diesel caught fire and exploded on Saturday while transferring fuel to another vehicle in Andhra Pradesh’s…
Which Pakistani Companies are Making Billions amid soaring Petrol, Diesel Prices?Pakistan Observer · 17 h agoISLAMABAD – While millions of Pakistanis struggle to afford petrol, diesel and everyday essentials, some of country’s biggest oil refineries reported staggering profit increases of more than 1,000%, raising questions about who is…

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Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $107.80.

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Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90

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$6.39median

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$102.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $102.50.

Reaches $100>99%
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What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$58.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $58.50 and as low as $53.50.

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Falls to $57>99%
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Already reached: ↑ $57

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onAAA

Trading closesOct 25, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$34.5K (45,111 contracts)

Today$235

This week$34.3K

At stake$12.2K

In the news47 headlines today, 1,042 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Diesel Price on October 26, 2026 is above $6.12, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

GasolineRB=F · tracks it3.1284+1.27%
United States Gasoline Fund LPUGA · tracks it144.92+1.78%

From 4Conservative Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.