Diesel prices in Oct 2026

Kalshi Finance › Commodities Closes Oct 31 · $2.2K today · $153K traded · $38.3K at stake · prices read 11 min ago

The odds

$6.35median

$5.40$7.60

Median $6.35Middle half $6.32 – $6.39

How the odds have moved

Median: $6.27 on Oct 20, $6.35 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above $5.50	99%	▼ 1	75¢		$1.01	8.3K
Above $5.60	99%	▼ 1	75¢		$1.01	7.8K
Above $5.70	99%	▼ 1	75¢		$1.01	1.5K
Above $5.80	99%	▼ 1	76¢		$1.01	4.7K
Above $5.90	98%	▼ 2	94¢	99¢	$1.01	8.8K
Above $6.00	98%	▼ 1	87¢		$1.02	13.7K
Above $6.10	98%	▼ 1	83¢		$1.02	23.6K
Above $6.20	98%	▼ 1	78¢	99¢	$1.01	25.6K
Above $6.30	87%	▼ 13	87¢	99¢	$1.01	42.4K
Above $6.40	15%	▼ 44	59¢	73¢	$1.37	43.6K
Above $6.50	15%	▲ 1		42¢	$2.38	33.8K
Above $6.60	15%	▲ 14	11¢	19¢	$5.26	30.4K
Above $6.70	15%	▲ 21	1¢	14¢	$7.14	17.2K
Above $6.80	3%	▼ 1	1¢	12¢	$8.33	31.5K
Above $6.90	3%	▲ 4		9¢	$11.11	21.3K
Above $7.00	3%	▲ 3		8¢	$12.50	24.1K
Above $7.10	3%	▲ 3		8¢	$12.50	25.3K
Above $7.20	3%	▲ 2		6¢	$16.67	33.3K
Above $7.30	1%			2¢	$50.00	12.0K
Above $7.40	1%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	10.9K
Above $7.50	1%			2¢	$50.00	99.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Diesel

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Russian diesel tanker officially en route to USFox Business · 8 h agoRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' Russian diesel tanker officially en route to US Retired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold…
First Russian diesel tanker heads to New York after Trump's deal with Putin to lower fuel pricesFox Business · 6 h agoRetired Marine Corps Maj. Gen. Arnold Punaro discusses President Donald Trump's diesel deal with Russia as a tanker heads to the US on 'America Reports.' The first tanker with 40,000 tons of diesel left for New York from Russia earlier…
Trump Diesel Relief Stalls as US Diesel Hits USD 6.28@analyticsinme · 11 h agoPresident Donald Trump's campaign to reduce diesel costs has yet to halt rising prices ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. US diesel rose nearly 10 cents last week to USD 6.28 a gallon, staying near record highs, according to the…
First tanker of Russian diesel sets sail for the US in Trump's controversial deal with PutinThe Washington Post · 26 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Kremlin says that…
What can be done to combat all-time-high diesel prices?CBS News · 26 h agoCurrent diesel prices are at an all-time high, impacting the transportation industry and the price you pay for many items. CBS News correspondent Marybel Gonzalez has what the country is doing to pump the brakes on rising costs. What can…
Which John Deere Tractors Use Yanmar Diesel Engines?SlashGear · 9 h agoJohn Deere's tractors are some of the most well-known in the market, but the brand does outsource some of its engines from brands like Yanmar. Which John Deere Tractors Use Yanmar Diesel Engines? John Deere manufactures some of the world's…
Petrol Price Unchanged, Diesel Goes Up AgainPakWheels Blog · 12 h agoThe government has announced new fuel prices for October 24, 2026, keeping the petrol price unchanged while increasing the price of high-speed diesel (HSD). According to the Petroleum Division, the revised prices will remain effective from…
Fuel Dealers Tell Motorists Not to Panic-Buy Petrol and DieselPakWheels Blog · 11 h agoPakistan’s petroleum dealers are asking motorists to avoid panic buying, saying the country’s petrol and diesel supplies remain under control despite rumours of possible shortages. Pakistan Petroleum Dealers Association Chairman Malik…
Which Pakistani Companies are Making Billions amid soaring Petrol, Diesel Prices?Pakistan Observer · 12 h agoISLAMABAD – While millions of Pakistanis struggle to afford petrol, diesel and everyday essentials, some of country’s biggest oil refineries reported staggering profit increases of more than 1,000%, raising questions about who is…
Ukraine war briefing: Russian diesel tankers headed for North America, says Moscow, as US tries to revive peace talksthe Guardian · 26 h agoTankers part of US-Russia deal that could see 500,000 metric tonnes of fuel supplied to world market this month. What we know on day 1,704 ... Ukraine war briefing: Russian diesel tankers headed for North America, says Moscow, as US tries…
Fuel prices today: Check petrol, diesel and CNG rates on 25 October in different cities across Indiamint · 2 h agoPetrol and diesel prices remain unchanged across most Indian cities on 25 October. However, CNG prices have increased in several cities, adding to daily travel costs. In New Delhi, petrol costs ₹102.12 per litre, while diesel costs ₹95.20…
Petrol and Diesel Fall Rs 8.59 and Rs 5.21 Over the WeekPakWheels Blog · 14 h agoPetrol and diesel both fell between Monday, 19th October, and Friday, 23rd October 2026, though diesel reversed part of its earlier drop. Petrol fell from Rs 386.30 to Rs 377.71 per liter, a weekly reduction of Rs 8.59. Meanwhile…

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$107.83high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $107.83.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $10574%

Falls to $9524%
Falls to $9012%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90

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US gas prices tomorrow (Oct 25, 2026)

$4.29median

$4.25$4.34

Median $4.29Middle half $4.29 – $4.29

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US gas prices this week (Oct 26, 2026)

$4.29median

$4.08$4.52

Median $4.29Middle half $4.28 – $4.30

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Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

$4.26median

$2.40$5.10

Median $4.26Middle half $4.22 – $4.30

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$102.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $102.50.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $105<1%

Falls to $95<1%
Falls to $90<1%

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Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

3.70median

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onAAA

Trading closesOct 31, 2026 1:59 AM ET

Traded$153K (519,805 contracts)

Today$2.2K

This week$153K

At stake$38.3K

In the news58 headlines today, 1,061 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Diesel Price on October 31, 2026 is above $5.50, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.