CPI-U index in October (October 2026)

Kalshi Economy › Inflation Closes Nov 10 · $11.7K traded · $9.9K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

86%Above 336.600

335.1336.7

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Pays	Contracts
Above 335.300	98%	▲ 2	96¢	$1.02	2.6K
Above 335.500	98%	▲ 1	95¢	$1.02	240
Above 335.600	98%	▲ 2	96¢	$1.02	369
Above 335.700	97%	▲ 1	94¢	$1.03	240
Above 335.800	95%		7¢	$1.06	520
Above 335.900	95%		1¢	$1.06	1.6K
Above 336.000	95%		26¢	$1.06	255
Above 336.100	95%		25¢	$1.06	574
Above 336.200	95%		7¢	$1.06	416
Above 336.300	95%		52¢	$1.06	3.3K
Above 336.400	95%		1¢	$1.06	310
Above 336.500	95%		16¢	$1.06	1.3K
Above 336.600	86%		1¢	$1.16	609

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All inflation ›

Economy › Inflation

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

2.13%median

1.5%4.4%

Median 2.13%Middle half 1.87% – 2.27%

Economy › Inflation

CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)

3.89%median

2.9%5.1%

Median 3.89%Middle half 3.73% – 4.08%

Economy › Inflation

Core CPI YoY in December (Dec 2026)

2.87%median

2%3.6%

Median 2.87%Middle half 2.72% – 3.08%

Economy › Inflation

CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.24%median

-0.2%1.1%

Median 0.24%Middle half 0.15% – 0.34%

Economy › Inflation

Argentina Monthly Inflation - October

1.77%median

1%3.3%

Median 1.77%Middle half 1.66% – 2.03%

Economy › Inflation

How high will inflation get in 2026?

14%Above 4.5%

4%12%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onBLS - CPI-U

Trading closesNov 10, 2026 8:29 AM ET

Traded$11.7K (12,301 contracts)

This week$11.7K

At stake$9.9K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 is above 334.200, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.