CA-04 House winner? (2026)
75%Mike Thompson
- Mike Thompson75%▼ 1
- Eric Jones25%▲ 2
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CA-07 House winner? (2026)
The odds
67%Doris Matsui
- Doris Matsui67%▲ 2
- Mai Vang33%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Doris Matsui: 64% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doris Matsui | 67% | ▲ 2 | 65¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 33.2K |
| Mai Vang | 33% | ▼ 2 | 32¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 34.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Doris Matsui, Mai Vang
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New district lines will test if Lodi can help U.S. Rep. Doris Matsui fend off upstart Mai VangA generational shift that has already played out in other elections across the country is now happening in Lodi and the northern reaches of San Joaquin County. The race for California’s newly redrawn 7th congressional district, which split… -
Rep. Doris Matsui continues to highlight Hasan Piker links to far-left opponent Mai VangMatsui is seeking reelection against another Democrat in the Sacramento-based district, where Republicans make up the undecided vote (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images) Rep. Doris Matsui, D-Calif., leaves the House Democrats'… -
Can Ben Allen Fight Off Jane Kim and the DSA Machine to Become California’s 9th Insurance Commissioner?In California's first-ever race for an elected insurance commissioner between two Democrats, state Sen. Ben Allen fights to overcome Jane Kim's lead from the June 2 primary. The far left's top target this year is the California Insurance… - As Sacramento ICE activity rises, immigration fears renew fight over police dataThree months after the Sacramento City Council voted to continue funding a regional intelligence-sharing center over objections from immigration advocates, protesters are renewing their demand that the city sever ties with the operation…
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Gillibrand urges FCC to keep school and library internet discountsOctober 20, 2026 3:39 AM / Staff Report Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand and other lawmakers are urging the Federal Communications Commission to withdraw a rulemaking on possible limits to E-Rate, the federal program that discounts internet service… - Press Release: Doris Matsui Introduces Bill to Review Fuel Efficiency Standards and Gas Price ReliefMatsui introduced legislation to review fuel efficiency standards and restore penalties for automakers amid high gas prices. Bill introduced on gas prices: Congresswoman Doris Matsui said she introduced the Gas Money Saved Act, which would…
- Sacramento news roundup: Sikh leaders rebuke Matsui, MLB bid and school cutsSacramento Bee Three major stories out of the Sacramento region this Friday touch on politics, professional sports and public education. Here’s a quick rundown of what’s happening and why it matters to residents. - Seven Sacramento-area…
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Full interview | Doris Matsui on the issues for Congressional District 7Congresswoman Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilwoman Mai Vang are running against each other to represent California's District 7 in Congress, a race that showcases that while they're both Democrats, they have different approaches… -
Full interview | Mai Vang on the issues for Congressional District 7Congresswoman Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilwoman Mai Vang are running against each other to represent California's District 7 in Congress, a race that showcases that while they're both Democrats, they have different approaches… - Sacramento Sikh leaders say they’ve lost confidence in Matsui ahead of electionIn a major rebuke of Rep. Doris Matsui, D-Sacramento, seven Sacramento-area Sikh temples have declared they no longer trust her to represent their community. Representatives of the seven temples, in a signed letter Wednesday, cited three…
- Mai Vang appears on controversial Hasan Piker stream, addresses campaign attacksSacramento Councilmember Mai Vang joined controversial political commentator Hasan Piker for a campaign fundraising stream Wednesday afternoon, an appearance that continues to draw attacks from her congressional opponent Rep. Doris Matsui…
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Here's how Doris Matsui and Mai Vang differ in race for CA's Congressional District 7Congresswoman Doris Matsui and Sacramento City Councilwoman Mai Vang are running against each other to represent California’s District 7 in Congress, a race that showcases that while they're both Democrats, they have different approaches…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.