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Canelo Alvarez vs Christian Mbilli
The odds
How the odds have moved
Canelo Alvarez: 73% on Oct 20, 73% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canelo Alvarez | 73% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 266.3K |
| Christian Mbilli | 27% | 27¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 164.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Canelo Alvarez, Christian Mbilli
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Christian Mbilli May Not Need His Best Against CaneloChristian Mbilli could walk away with a victory over Canelo Alvarez without needing the fight of his life next Saturday, October 31, in Saudi Arabia. His relentless pace and trademark volume might easily suffice against a 36-year-old… -
Christian Mbilli welcomes ‘dream fight’ against KO artist champion if he beats CaneloChristian Mbilli defends his WBC super-middleweight title for the first time against Canelo Alvarez later this month, and should he be successful, Mbilli has confirmed that he would be willing to take part in a ‘dream fight’ against a… -
Ricardo Blandon Replaces Lorenzo Parra For Rafael Espinoza Title DefenseRicardo Blandon is set to replace Lorenzo Parra as Rafael Espinoza’s challenger for the October 31 WBO featherweight championship bout in Riyadh. WBO president Gustavo Olivieri said Canelo Promotions had advised the organization that the… -
Video: Canelo Alvarez defends title against Terence CrawfordWatch Saul "Canelo" Alvarez defend his undisputed super middleweight title against Terence Crawford in Las Vegas, live on Netflix. Watch Saul “Canelo” Alvarez defend his undisputed super middleweight title against Terence Crawford last… -
Canelo Closes Camp in Spain as DAZN Prepares to Call His Riyadh Fight From LondonCanelo Alvarez is finishing training camp in Spain, eight days from Christian Mbilli, and says he is ready. The people who will describe the fight to American viewers are not expected to be in the building when he does it. Alvarez’s answer… -
Zuffa vs. The World: The World Fights BackIn Part One this series called it a Cold War and mapped the two sides, the machine and the vault. In Part Two it followed the money into the multi-fight contracts and said the machine had run into the one weapon the old world still had… -
Latin America Sports Daily for Friday, October 23, 2026Prediction markets: Kalshi gives Canelo Alvarez a 73% chance against Christian Mbilli, and gives America a 33% chance to win the Liga MX Apertura, as of October 22, 11:37 p.m. ET. Prices are bets, not polls. Estudiantes knock out Flamengo… -
Canelo Alvarez vs. Christian Mbilli Still Set for Riyadh Despite U.S. Ordered DepartureCanelo Alvarez's challenge for Christian Mbilli's WBC super middleweight title remains scheduled for Oct. 31 in Riyadh after the U.S. State Department ordered non-emergency government employees and their families to leave Saudi Arabia… -
David Benavidez dismisses Canelo Alvarez for good: “That fight is never going to happen”Home » Boxing News » David Benavidez dismisses Canelo Alvarez for good: “That… David Benavidez believes the ship has sailed on a potential clash with Canelo Alvarez. During Benavidez’s rise within the super middleweight division, he had… -
Who is Christian Mbilli: Age, where he's from, nickname, and everything about Canelo Álvarez's next opponentMbilli has an important professional boxing career. Saúl “Canelo” Álvarez returns to the ring before retiring permanently from professional boxing and ending his career on a high note. His opponent will be Christian Mbilli, a French… -
US Orders Diplomats To Leave Saudi Arabia Ahead Of WWE Crown JewelThe United States State Department has ordered non-emergency diplomatic personnel and their families to leave Saudi Arabia amid escalating security concerns, just over two weeks before WWE Crown Jewel is scheduled for Riyadh. The decision… -
Breeders’ Cup Distaff 2026 Picks, Odds, Leading Contenders, Betting Insights & AnalysisThe penultimate race on the dirt at this year’s Breeders’ Cup will be the feature for fillies and mares, with a world-class field expected to go to post for the Distaff. Nitrogen is the leading contender for the Mark Casse yard, while…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions