Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond (Before 2030)

Kalshi Culture › Movies & box office Closes Jan 1, 2030 · $320 today · $376K traded · $186K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

36%Callum Turner
  • Callum Turner36%
  • Jack Lowden33%▲ 1
  • Josh O'Connor23%▲ 1
  • Jack O'Connell11%▼ 1
  • Jack Barton9%▲ 1
  • Tom Francis7%▲ 1
  • Jacob Elordi6%▲ 1
  • Harris Dickinson5%
  • Nicholas Hoult5%▲ 3
  • Robert Pattinson5%
  • Paul Mescal5%▲ 2
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson4%▲ 1
19 more
  • Henry Cavill4%
  • Damson Idris3%
  • Scott Rose-Marsh3%▲ 1
  • Aaron Pierre3%
  • James Norton3%
  • Theo James3%
  • George MacKay3%▼ 3
  • Tom Hardy2%
  • Idris Elba2%▼ 1
  • Richard Madden2%
  • Regé-Jean Page2%
  • Tom Holland2%
  • Henry Ashton2%
  • Tom Blyth2%
  • Cillian Murphy1%
  • Charlie Hunnam1%
  • Jonathan Bailey1%
  • Nicholas Galitzine1%
  • Luke Evans1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Callum Turner 36% 35¢ 36¢ $2.78 599.2K
Jack Lowden 33% ▲ 1 32¢ 34¢ $2.94 206.4K
Josh O'Connor 23% ▲ 1 21¢ 24¢ $4.17 139.7K
Jack O'Connell 11% ▼ 1 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 34.6K
Jack Barton 9% ▲ 1 8¢ 10¢ $10.00 48.3K
Tom Francis 7% ▲ 1 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 51.7K
Jacob Elordi 6% ▲ 1 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 295.0K
Harris Dickinson 5% 4¢ 6¢ $16.67 119.6K
Nicholas Hoult 5% ▲ 3 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 30.5K
Robert Pattinson 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 15.2K
Paul Mescal 5% ▲ 2 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 12.8K
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 288.7K
Henry Cavill 4% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 113.1K
Damson Idris 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 53.5K
Scott Rose-Marsh 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 17.1K
Aaron Pierre 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 41.5K
James Norton 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 42.7K
Theo James 3% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 93.7K
George MacKay 3% ▼ 3 5¢ $20.00 11.3K
Tom Hardy 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 23.3K
Idris Elba 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 78.6K
Richard Madden 2% 3¢ $33.33 26.0K
Regé-Jean Page 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 24.0K
Tom Holland 2% 3¢ $33.33 84.9K
Henry Ashton 2% 3¢ $33.33 12.2K
Tom Blyth 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 16.0K
Cillian Murphy 1% 2¢ $50.00 30.1K
Charlie Hunnam 1% 2¢ $50.00 21.8K
Jonathan Bailey 1% 1¢ $100.00 25.3K
Nicholas Galitzine 1% 1¢ $100.00 965
Luke Evans 1% 1¢ $100.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: James Bond, Actor, Callum Turner

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.