#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes today 11:59 PM ET · $43 today · $155 traded · $105 at stake · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

4%Choosin' Texas
  • Choosin' Texas4%▼ 6
  • Patient Zero1%
  • Nicole Kidman1%▲ 1
  • Boston1%
  • Been By Now1%
  • Solar Eclipse1%
  • hate that i made you love me1%
  • stupid song1%
  • BbY WOW1%
  • Quebec1%
  • I Just Might1%
  • Babydoll1%
6 more
  • Risk It All1%
  • BE HER1%
  • LAST THING YOU NEED1%
  • Midnight Sun1%
  • LOVING LIFE AGAIN1%
  • Earrings1%

How the odds have moved

Choosin' Texas: 2% on Oct 20, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 8 PM ETChoosin' Texas: 58% → 13%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Choosin' Texas 4% ▼ 6 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 3.2K
Patient Zero 1% 16¢ $6.25 1.1K
Nicole Kidman 1% ▲ 1 2¢ $50.00 2.4K
Boston 1% 1¢ $100.00 144
Been By Now 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Solar Eclipse 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
hate that i made you love me 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
stupid song 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
BbY WOW 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Quebec 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
I Just Might 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Babydoll 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Risk It All 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
BE HER 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
LAST THING YOU NEED 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Midnight Sun 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
LOVING LIFE AGAIN 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Earrings 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Billboard Hot, Choosin' Texas, Patient Zero

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

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  • Armenia99%▲ 56
  • Albania<1%▼ 1
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15 more
  • Croatia<1%▼ 2
  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
  • Italy<1%▼ 1
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  • Portugal<1%▼ 1
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Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s) (2027)

81%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z81%▼ 7
  • Beyoncé48%▲ 15
  • Miley Cyrus13%▼ 5
54 more
  • Justin Bieber6%▲ 2
  • Harry Styles6%▼ 3
  • Lady Gaga6%▲ 2
  • Taylor Swift6%▲ 1
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  • Lil Wayne2%▼ 1
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  • Oasis2%
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  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Cardi B2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Ella Langley2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Madonna1%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $14.4K today

Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31

48%Housewife - Tate McRae
  • Housewife - Tate McRae48%▼ 46
  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley9%▲ 5
  • Patient Zero - Taylor Swift<1%
4 more
  • Boston - Stella Lefty<1%
  • Been By Now - Morgan Wallen<1%
  • Solar Eclipse - Drake & Don Toliver<1%
  • expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions