How many companies will go bankrupt this year? (2026)

Kalshi Economy › Growth & recession Closes Jan 10, 2027 · $6.5K traded · $5.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

793.1median
5001,250
Median 793.1Middle half 750 – 872.7

How the odds have moved

Median: 793.1 on Oct 20, 793.1 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 550 98% 96¢ $1.02 124
Above 600 97% 95¢ 99¢ $1.01 232
Above 650 95% 90¢ 99¢ $1.01 92.00
Above 750 75% 71¢ 79¢ $1.27 6.4K
Above 800 46% 41¢ 51¢ $1.96 1.1K
Above 850 30% 25¢ 35¢ $2.86 2.0K
Above 900 19% 14¢ 24¢ $4.17 1.00
Above 950 16% 11¢ 21¢ $4.76 202
Above 1,000 11% 6¢ 16¢ $6.25 802
Above 1,050 8% 3¢ 13¢ $7.69 202
Above 1,100 4% 8¢ $12.50 193
Above 1,150 3% 5¢ $20.00 403
Above 1,200 2% 4¢ $25.00 17.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions