Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
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Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?
The odds
14%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 12% on Oct 20, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14% | 13¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 44.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arizona
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FINAL: Arizona State 28, Kansas State 17Arizona State running back Cardae Mack and wide receiver Reed Harris combined for over 300 yards of total offense, and the Sun Devil defense shot down K-State's own run game on the way to a 28-17 win at Mountain America Stadium in Tempe… -
Cardinals' Evan Hull: Signs with Arizona's active rosterCBS Sports The Cardinals signed Hull from the practice squad to the active roster Saturday, Tyler Drake of ArizonaSports.com reports. Hull has been signed to continue to fulfill the No. 3 running back role opened by the absence of… -
How to Watch: K-State at Arizona StateAfter extending The Streak to 18 games last week, the Wildcats again hit the road, heading to the suburbs of Phoenix with at least a winning record in their pocket. Coming out on top this afternoon would be a huge step. But their opponent… -
Serve receive does Arizona volleyball in at West VirginiaArizona volleyball head coach Rita Stubbs has said repeatedly that there's no team in the conference that the Wildcats are good enough to look past. That was obvious at West Virginia. The Mountaineers have won a total of five Big 12… -
Game thread: Iowa State football versus No. 25 ArizonaFresh off the bye week, Iowa State (3-3) heads south to battle No. 25 Arizona at Casino Del Sol Stadium. The Cyclones enter the matchup boasting a 23-game 100+ yard rushing streak, led by AP Midseason All-American Aiden Flora (7.56 yards… -
Iowa State football vs Arizona live updates: Wildcats strike firstIt's time for Iowa State football's first game out of the bye week, and Jimmy Rogers' squad won't have an easy matchup. The Cyclones (3-3, 1-2 Big 12) take on Arizona (5-1, 2-1 Big 12) on Saturday night, with kickoff scheduled for 6:30… -
Cardinals Prospect Tai Peete Enters Arizona Fall League Record BooksThe St. Louis Cardinals have several notable prospects in their farm system—and one of them is putting on a show in the Arizona Fall League. Outfielder Tai Pee ... The St. Louis Cardinals have several notable prospects in their farm… -
Scouting the Enemy: Arizona CardinalsThe Denver Broncos will finish up their slate of NFC West games on Sunday when they head on the road to face the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals are 2-4 entering this matchup, but are coming off an impressive Week 6 win against the Los… -
Joe Jackson injury update: Kansas State RB returns at Arizona StateKansas State's injury problems at quarterback have been so bad this year that even its running backs who line up behind center are getting hurt. Luckily, this one didn't last long. Joe Jackson, who took his first snap as a… -
Arizona flash floods leaves four people stranded on top of their vehicleFour people in Arizona were airlifted to safety after their vehicle was swept away by floodwaters. Heavy rainfall and thunderstorms in the area caused creeks to rise triggering flash floods. Arizona flash floods leaves four people stranded… -
Kansas State vs Arizona State injury report: Who's in, who's out?Kansas State officially ruled starting quarterback Avery Johnson out in its final injury report ahead of Saturday's Week 8 matchup in Tempe, Arizona. The third-year starter will miss his first game due to injury. Fifth-year Jacob Knuth is… -
Highlights | 2026 USAC Western World Friday at Central Arizona RacewayThe 58th Western World Championships rolls on with a second night of USAC AMSOIL National Sprint Car Series action at Central Arizona Raceway. The 58th Western World Championships rolls on with a second night of USAC AMSOIL National Sprint…
Related markets
All jobs ›US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
563,415median
250,000650,000
Median 563,415
Unemployment in October (Oct 2026)
4.15%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.15%Middle half 4.08% – 4.23%
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
15%U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k15%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k11%▲ 8
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above6%
8 more
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above5%▲ 1
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k1%
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k1%▼ 21
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above1%▼ 4
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
10%5.0%
4.5%13%
UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
50%Above 2.0%
-2%3%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions