Largest Company end of October 2026?
71%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA71%▲ 8
- Apple27%▼ 9
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Install
Airbnb bookings in Q3 (nights & experiences booked in Q3 2026)
The odds
147.85Mmedian
136.00M158.00M
Median 147.85MMiddle half 144.73M – 150.90M
How the odds have moved
Median: 148.00M on Oct 20, 147.85M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 138 million | 93% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 420 |
| Above 140 million | 92% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 410 |
| Above 142 million | 88% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 50.00 |
| Above 144 million | 79% | ▲ 1 | 75¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 363 |
| Above 146 million | 68% | ▲ 1 | 64¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 1.0K |
| Above 148 million | 49% | ▲ 1 | 44¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 468 |
| Above 150 million | 30% | ▼ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 591 |
| Above 152 million | 20% | ▼ 1 | 16¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 237 |
| Above 154 million | 11% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | |
| Above 156 million | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Airbnb
Search ›-
Airbnb making changes to guest cleaning requirementsCBS News Boston is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBZ-TV and channel 4, CBS News Boston offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Airbnb making changes… -
Airbnb host says new rules may lead to increased costs for guests: "An unintended consequence"October 23, 2026 / 7:24 PM EDT / CBS Boston A getaway is an escape from the everyday, yet some Airbnb customers are still left with common chores when they leave. Now, the company is making changes to their house rules to alleviate… -
Brian Chesky’s new blueprint for Airbnb — and Silicon ValleyThis article first appeared in The CEO Signal. Request an invitation. “When I came to Silicon Valley, we thought we were all making the world a better place,” Brian Chesky recalls, 19 years after he co-founded Airbnb. Now, he tells The CEO… -
Airbnb host fined as guests put at 'serious' riskAn Airbnb host has been fined £52,000 after admitting seven fire safety offences that put guests at "serious" risk. Following an inspection in August 2024, owners of Walpole House in Bridgwater were temporarily banned from renting out the… -
New Airbnb rules limit "checkout chores"CBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. New Airbnb rules… -
New Airbnb rules limit cleaning chores for guestsCNN New Airbnb rules limit cleaning chores for guests Skift Executive Editor Dennis Schaal discusses the changes. -
Airbnb bans lengthy checkout chores and penalties for guestsCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Airbnb bans lengthy… -
Sabre (NASDAQ:SABR) & Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) Critical ContrastPosted by Mitch Edgeman on Oct 26th, 2026 Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB – Get Free Report) and Sabre (NASDAQ:SABR – Get Free Report) are both consumer discretionary companies, but which is the superior business? We will compare the two businesses… -
How Trump’s economic promises have played out and Airbnb’s new rules for hosts: Morning RundownMorning Rundown: Trump predicts GOP defeat in key race, Airbnb sets new rules for hosts, and World Series begins as lockout looms Analysis shows how Trump’s promise of cheaper groceries and gas has not materialized. Republicans predict… -
No more chores: Airbnb’s new rules split hosts and guests | CNN BusinessAirbnb has revised its rules to reduce the tasks a host can expect a guest to perform at the end of their stay — and washing dishes has been wiped from the to-do list. The hit musical dramedy show "Glee", which premiered in 2009, has… -
Airbnb hosts can no longer ask guests to clean dishes or make bedsAirbnb hosts can only set “reasonable” housecleaning duties for guests, according to new guidelines rolled out by the tech giant, with tasks such as dishwashing and bed stripping now the sole responsibility of homeowners. While Airbnb… -
Airbnb vs. Coupang: Cyclical Volatility vs. Steady Scale in RevenueAirbnb (ABNB -2.13%) manages a global digital lodging marketplace that operates by seamlessly connecting independent property hosts offering short-term private rooms, primary residences, and vacation homes with travelers seeking unique…
Related markets
All companies ›Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 1
- November 3099%▲ 1
- December 3199%▲ 14
United Airlines Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
106.8median
91117
Median 106.8Middle half 104.6 – 109.7
Walmart Credit Card Spend in October (October 2026)
99.3median
92112
Median 99.3Middle half 97 – 101.8
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%
- December 31>99%
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
72%Apple
- Apple72%▲ 11
- NVIDIA27%▼ 11
- Microsoft<1%
6 more
- Alphabet<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions