Who will have a top 20 song this year? (2026)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Dec 29 · $20 today · $47.5K traded · $24.2K at stake · prices read 88 min ago

The odds

100%Lana Del Rey
  • Lana Del Rey100%
  • Chappell Roan99%
  • Mariah Carey96%
  • Post Malone90%▲ 1
  • SZA46%▼ 1
  • The Weeknd39%
  • Kendrick Lamar35%
  • Doechii33%▼ 1
  • Travis Scott32%
  • Beyoncé23%
  • Shaboozey23%
  • KATSEYE22%
77 more
  • Tyler, The Creator22%▼ 1
  • Lady Gaga21%
  • Megan Thee Stallion20%
  • Dua Lipa16%▼ 1
  • EsDeeKid16%
  • Gracie Abrams14%
  • Doja Cat14%
  • Tyla14%
  • Young Thug14%▼ 2
  • Benson Boone13%
  • Clairo13%
  • Rihanna13%▲ 1
  • Quavo13%
  • PARTYNEXTDOOR13%
  • Eminem12%▲ 2
  • Billie Eilish12%
  • Kali Uchis12%
  • Trippie Redd11%
  • Roddy Ricch11%▼ 1
  • Lil Nas X11%
  • Joji10%▼ 1
  • Lil Yachty10%
  • Lola Young10%▼ 1
  • Bebe Rexha10%
  • Stray Kids10%▼ 1
  • Ed Sheeran9%
  • Kanye West / Ye9%
  • Swae Lee9%
  • The Kid LAROI9%
  • John Mayer9%
  • The Marías9%▼ 2
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again9%
  • Ice Spice9%
  • Rauw Alejandro8%▲ 1
  • Sia8%
  • Justin Timberlake8%
  • BLACKPINK8%
  • Big Sean8%
  • Pharrell Williams8%
  • Offset8%
  • Daniel Caesar8%
  • Charli xcx8%
  • Childish Gambino8%
  • Fred again..8%
  • Maroon 58%
  • Coldplay7%
  • Lil Wayne7%
  • USHER7%
  • ROSALÍA7%
  • mgk7%
  • Geese7%
  • Calvin Harris7%
  • Linkin Park7%
  • J Balvin6%
  • Shawn Mendes6%
  • Sam Smith6%
  • Migos6%
  • Kid Cudi6%
  • 2 Chainz6%
  • Lewis Capaldi6%

How the odds have moved

Lana Del Rey: 98% on Oct 20, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Lana Del Rey 100% 99¢ 7.2K
✓ Steve Lacy 99% $1.01 1.1K
✓ Dolly Parton 99% $1.01 361
Chappell Roan 99% 98¢ 99¢ $1.01 10.3K
✓ KAROL G 96% $1.04 10.5K
Mariah Carey 96% 94¢ 98¢ $1.02 2.8K
Post Malone 90% ▲ 1 87¢ 93¢ $1.08 354
SZA 46% ▼ 1 43¢ 49¢ $2.04 4.1K
The Weeknd 39% 37¢ 41¢ $2.44 3.4K
Kendrick Lamar 35% 31¢ 38¢ $2.63 1.5K
Doechii 33% ▼ 1 29¢ 37¢ $2.70 1.5K
Travis Scott 32% 30¢ 34¢ $2.94 2.5K
Beyoncé 23% 22¢ 51¢ $1.96 2.1K
Shaboozey 23% 20¢ 25¢ $4.00 1.5K
KATSEYE 22% 20¢ 24¢ $4.17 7.8K
Tyler, The Creator 22% ▼ 1 18¢ 26¢ $3.85 780
Lady Gaga 21% 18¢ 24¢ $4.17 1.4K
Megan Thee Stallion 20% 17¢ 23¢ $4.35 534
Dua Lipa 16% ▼ 1 12¢ 19¢ $5.26 651
EsDeeKid 16% 13¢ 18¢ $5.56 2.4K
Gracie Abrams 14% 13¢ 16¢ $6.25 3.2K
Doja Cat 14% 10¢ 18¢ $5.56 384
Tyla 14% 10¢ 18¢ $5.56 2.2K
Young Thug 14% ▼ 2 13¢ 14¢ $7.14 7.1K
Benson Boone 13% 9¢ 17¢ $5.88 852
Clairo 13% 9¢ 17¢ $5.88 261
Rihanna 13% ▲ 1 10¢ 15¢ $6.67 1.5K
Quavo 13% 9¢ 16¢ $6.25 204
PARTYNEXTDOOR 13% 10¢ 15¢ $6.67 978
Eminem 12% ▲ 2 8¢ 15¢ $6.67 146
Billie Eilish 12% 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 7.0K
Kali Uchis 12% 8¢ 15¢ $6.67 606
Trippie Redd 11% 8¢ 14¢ $7.14 636
Roddy Ricch 11% ▼ 1 7¢ 14¢ $7.14 848
Lil Nas X 11% 7¢ 14¢ $7.14 706
Joji 10% ▼ 1 7¢ 13¢ $7.69 4.8K
Lil Yachty 10% 7¢ 13¢ $7.69 46.00
Lola Young 10% ▼ 1 6¢ 14¢ $7.14 108
Bebe Rexha 10% 6¢ 13¢ $7.69 209
Stray Kids 10% ▼ 1 7¢ 12¢ $8.33 1.5K
Ed Sheeran 9% 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 541
Kanye West / Ye 9% 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 12.4K
Swae Lee 9% 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 1.0K
The Kid LAROI 9% 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 2.0K
John Mayer 9% 7¢ 11¢ $9.09 1.2K
The Marías 9% ▼ 2 7¢ 11¢ $9.09 508
YoungBoy Never Broke Again 9% 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 2.4K
Ice Spice 9% 5¢ 12¢ $8.33 238
Rauw Alejandro 8% ▲ 1 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 637
Sia 8% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 55.00
Justin Timberlake 8% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 201
BLACKPINK 8% 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 2.3K
Big Sean 8% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 202
Pharrell Williams 8% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 150
Offset 8% 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 2.00
Daniel Caesar 8% 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 76.00
Charli xcx 8% 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 5.4K
Childish Gambino 8% 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 36.00
Fred again.. 8% 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 109
Maroon 5 8% 5¢ 10¢ $10.00 42.00
Coldplay 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09 115
Lil Wayne 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09 281
USHER 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 70.00
ROSALÍA 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 378
mgk 7% 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.5K
Geese 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09 372
Calvin Harris 7% 5¢ 8¢ $12.50 607
Linkin Park 7% 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 60.00
J Balvin 6% 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 67.00
Shawn Mendes 6% 3¢ 9¢ $11.11 20.00
Sam Smith 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 472
Migos 6% 2¢ 10¢ $10.00
Kid Cudi 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 64.00
2 Chainz 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 50.00
Lewis Capaldi 6% 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 147
Frank Ocean 6% 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 403
David Guetta 6% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50 141
Tyga 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11
Charlie Puth 6% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50 2.1K
Polo G 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 66.00
Camilo 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 2.00
Ozuna 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 26.00
Anuel AA 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 3.00
Khalid 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 4.00
Jason Derulo 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 48.00
Kodak Black 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 264
Daft Punk 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.00
Fall Out Boy 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 25.00
NF 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 4.00
Logic 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 3.00
Grimes 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 21.00
Addison Rae 4% ▲ 3 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 1.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lana Del Rey, Chappell Roan, Mariah Carey

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  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
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  • JAY-Z64%▼ 20
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  • Miley Cyrus13%▼ 5
54 more
  • Lady Gaga8%▲ 4
  • Taylor Swift7%
  • Justin Bieber6%▲ 2
  • Harry Styles6%▼ 3
  • Rihanna4%
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  • Ariana Grande3%
  • Lil Wayne2%▼ 1
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  • Linkin Park2%
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  • Pearl Jam2%
  • Chris Brown2%
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  • Doja Cat2%
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  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Cardi B2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Ella Langley2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
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  • Rauw Alejandro100%
  • SZA100%
  • PinkPantheress100%
127 more
  • Cardi B100%
  • Lana Del Rey88%▲ 16
  • Young Thug75%▲ 1
  • Don Toliver74%▲ 1
  • Dua Lipa74%▼ 2
  • Kodak Black72%▲ 3
  • Kali Uchis57%▼ 1
  • Doechii55%▲ 17
  • Lil Wayne49%▲ 6
  • Lil Uzi Vert49%▼ 4
  • Bad Bunny45%▼ 12
  • 21 Savage45%▼ 20
  • Ella Langley44%▲ 1
  • Ice Spice42%▼ 1
  • Katy Perry39%▲ 32
  • J Balvin39%▼ 2
  • Anuel AA38%▼ 1
  • T-Pain38%▼ 1
  • Lil Yachty37%▲ 4
  • The Weeknd37%▲ 1
  • Charli xcx37%▼ 1
  • Megan Thee Stallion36%
  • KAROL G34%▲ 1
  • Drake33%▲ 5
  • Bruno Mars33%
  • Tyler, The Creator33%▲ 1
  • Quavo32%▲ 10
  • Sabrina Carpenter31%▼ 1
  • Imagine Dragons31%▲ 22
  • The Kid LAROI28%▼ 10
  • ROSALÍA27%▼ 1
  • Justin Bieber27%
  • Sexyy Red27%▼ 1
  • Ozuna26%▼ 1
  • Nicki Minaj26%▲ 3
  • JAY-Z26%▼ 1
  • Post Malone25%▲ 1
  • Pharrell Williams24%▼ 1
  • Tyla24%▼ 2
  • Eminem24%▼ 2
  • Doja Cat24%
  • Jason Derulo20%
  • Leon Thomas20%▼ 1
  • Shaboozey20%
  • Calvin Harris19%▼ 1
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again19%▲ 7
  • Offset19%▲ 1
  • Billie Eilish19%▼ 2
  • Chris Brown18%▼ 1
  • 2 Chainz17%
  • Bryson Tiller17%
  • Kendrick Lamar17%▼ 4
  • Coldplay17%▼ 3
  • Lil Baby17%▼ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions