Lil Baby: 33% on Oct 20, 76% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ KATSEYE | 99% | $1.01 | 41.6K | |||
| ✓ Miley Cyrus | 99% | $1.01 | 18.3K | |||
| ✓ Stray Kids | 98% | $1.02 | 30.0K | |||
| ✓ ENHYPEN | 98% | $1.02 | 92.7K | |||
| ✓ Rod Wave | 94% | $1.06 | 10.2K | |||
| Lil Baby | 76% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 5.7K |
| Lana Del Rey | 45% | 30¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 6.0K | |
| Travis Scott | 22% | ▲ 1 | 19¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 10.1K |
| Beyoncé | 22% | 20¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 10.1K | |
| SZA | 21% | ▼ 1 | 20¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 5.8K |
| Kendrick Lamar | 19% | ▼ 1 | 17¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 7.0K |
| Post Malone | 19% | 15¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 13.4K | |
| Olivia Dean | 18% | 15¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 2.9K | |
| The Weeknd | 14% | 12¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 1.2K | |
| Tate McRae | 14% | ▼ 5 | 12¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 5.7K |
| Eminem | 13% | ▲ 3 | 10¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 1.4K |
| Megan Thee Stallion | 12% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 3.9K |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 11% | 10¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 6.7K | |
| Young Thug | 11% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 6.8K |
| Kanye West / Ye | 11% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 35.0K |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 2.7K | |
| Doechii | 10% | ▼ 2 | 8¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 3.5K |
| Justin Bieber | 9% | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 4.4K | |
| Leon Thomas | 9% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 522 |
| sombr | 9% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 3.8K |
| Selena Gomez | 8% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 894 |
| Billie Eilish | 8% | 6¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 11.8K | |
| Chappell Roan | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 974 | |
| Coldplay | 7% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 365 |
| Dua Lipa | 7% | ▼ 3 | 6¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 2.0K |
| Lady Gaga | 7% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.5K |
| Shawn Mendes | 7% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 602 |
| Frank Ocean | 7% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 1.7K |
| Nicki Minaj | 7% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 8.8K |
| Benson Boone | 7% | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 275 | |
| Rauw Alejandro | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 1.7K | |
| Linkin Park | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 69.00 | |
| Kodak Black | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 157 | |
| Offset | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 904 | |
| Joji | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 14.8K | |
| The Marías | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 767 | |
| Ed Sheeran | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 303 | |
| Ozuna | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 436 | |
| Doja Cat | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 16.00 | |
| Migos | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 227 | |
| Pharrell Williams | 6% | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 14.00 | |
| Childish Gambino | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 30.00 | |
| Lola Young | 6% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 258 | |
| Calvin Harris | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 7.00 | |
| NF | 5% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 401 |
| Bryson Tiller | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.9K | |
| mgk | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 708 | |
| Alex Warren | 5% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.9K |
| J Balvin | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 998 | |
| Anuel AA | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 635 | |
| KAROL G | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 8.5K | |
| Sia | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 239 | |
| Luke Combs | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 10.9K | |
| Swae Lee | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.0K | |
| BLACKPINK | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 6.3K | |
| Daft Punk | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 642 | |
| The Kid LAROI | 5% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 163 |
| Fall Out Boy | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 84.00 | |
| Daniel Caesar | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 37.00 | |
| PARTYNEXTDOOR | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 401 | |
| Mariah Carey | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 207 | |
| Ice Spice | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 20.00 | |
| Quavo | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 505 | |
| YoungBoy Never Broke Again | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 4.7K |
| Tyga | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 333 | |
| USHER | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 42.00 | |
| Charli xcx | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 92.1K | |
| ROSALÍA | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.0K | |
| Lil Yachty | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 10.00 | |
| PinkPantheress | 4% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 443 |
| Shaboozey | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.8K | |
| Phoebe Bridgers | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.5K | |
| Rihanna | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 3.5K | |
| Lil Wayne | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 6.7K | |
| 21 Savage | 4% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 43.00 |
| Khalid | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 27.00 | |
| Maroon 5 | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 25.00 | |
| Justin Timberlake | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 188 | |
| Bebe Rexha | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.2K | ||
| Big Sean | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 4.00 | |
| 2 Chainz | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.0K |
| Roddy Ricch | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 25.00 | |
| John Mayer | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 12.00 | |
| Fred again.. | 4% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.3K | |
| Addison Rae | 4% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 68.00 |
| Trippie Redd | 3% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 157 |
| Charlie Puth | 3% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 3.1K |
| Kali Uchis | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 283 | |
| Lewis Capaldi | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 724 | |
| Logic | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 306 | |
| Lil Nas X | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 316 | |
| Kacey Musgraves | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 69.00 | |
| Chris Brown | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 54.0K |
| Jason Derulo | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 151 | |
| Camilo | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 331 | ||
| Kid Cudi | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 165 | |
| Victoria Monet | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 620 | ||
| David Guetta | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 317 | |
| Polo G | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 668 | |
| Dahi | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 96.00 | ||
| Sam Smith | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K | ||
| Tyla | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 9.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Already reached: ↑ 104m
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions